Currently listed — $4,300,000
5 bed · 3 bath · 2 car · House
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
What we've tracked
- 20 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 27 Aug 2026 asking $4.3M
- 28 Aug 2026 on market 8+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 63 — above sydney average · 27 min walk to Kingsford Light Rail · ~28 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 8 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
8 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Kensington · postcode 2033
$380–$2450/wk is what 5-bed houses in 2033 actually transact for (middle half of 10 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1750/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $750 → $1275/wk · -6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2033, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Development potential — how Randwick City Council treats the work you might do
Refuses 3.23% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 5.36% (determinations to Nov 2023).
The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 5, asking within 20% of this one, in Kensington or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Planning & zoning — R1 General Residential
A mix of housing types — houses through to apartments — permitted.
Zone R1 (General Residential) under the RANDWICK LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development outlook — how often Randwick City Council has refused this kind of work
| If you wanted to… | Refused | vs NSW | Applications decided |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alterations & additions | 2.33% (1.13–4.74%) | 0.9× (NSW 2.63%) | 7 refused of 300 |
| Off-street parking | 5.36% (1.84–14.61%) | 2.1× (NSW 2.58%) | 3 refused of 56 |
| Pool, deck or fence | 3.65% (1.57–8.26%) | 2.1× (NSW 1.73%) | 5 refused of 137 |
| Granny flat | too few to rate | — (NSW 4.45%) | 1 refused of 15 |
| Knock down & rebuild | 0% (0–6.02%) | — (NSW 11.55%) | 0 refused of 60 · 2 approved with conditions |
Across all application types Randwick City Council refused 3.23% (2.08–4.99%) of the 588 development applications it decided.
Where these applications come unstuck
The refusal rate above says how strict the council is. This says which part of a plan is exposed — measured across all 192,284 NSW development applications, not just this council. Each is an association: plenty of applications carrying these elements are approved, and nothing here is a verdict on a proposal you haven't made yet.
- Alterations & additions — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 7.27% vs 2.59% for this kind of work generally — 2.8×, on 220 applications); excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.71% vs 2.54% for this kind of work generally — 2.64×, on 611 applications)
- Off-street parking — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 8.45% vs 2.42% for this kind of work generally — 3.49×, on 284 applications)
- Pool, deck or fence — excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.22% vs 1.61% for this kind of work generally — 3.88×, on 659 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 4.97% vs 1.6% for this kind of work generally — 3.12×, on 965 applications)
- Knock down & rebuild — excavation or a new lower level (refused 25.78% vs 9.36% for this kind of work generally — 2.75×, on 256 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 19.91% vs 10.46% for this kind of work generally — 1.9×, on 221 applications)
Determinations lodged on the NSW Planning Portal up to Nov 2023 — the published dataset stops there, so this is a record of how the council has behaved, not a forecast and not a statement about any particular application. Rates cover development applications only; modifications and reviews of an earlier decision are excluded. A rate is shown only where at least 30 applications were decided — below that the counts are given instead, because a percentage from a handful of decisions is not a fact about a council. "Approved with conditions" is a consent, not a refusal, and is never counted as one.
What's changing in Kensington — recent local signals
2026-08-08 — South Coogee to Kingsford walking & cycling corridor (stage-zero.json (date = register entry, not decision — check stageNote for the real dates))
2026-06-11 — Place of worship departure — 1 ROMA AVENUE KENSINGTON 2033 ($91k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-646359, OnlineDA))
2025-07-01 — Childcare departure — 31 TODMAN AVENUE KENSINGTON 2033 ($1137k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-548829, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Daceyville PS (primary) · Randwick HS (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1084 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Kensington — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.