137/635 Gardeners Road · Mascot NSW 2020

Mascot suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs · building dossier

Mascot suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed — $950,000 ▼ Reduced 2.1% · $20k · today

2 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · ApartmentUnitFlat

Asking price cut 2.1% ($20k, from $970,000 to $950,000) today. The vendor has already moved once: negotiate below the NEW asking, not at it.

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$918k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$918k–$1.14M
around $1.03M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.14M
$1.25M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 59 comparable auction sales (18 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 25 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
  • 25 Aug 2026 asking $970k
  • 27 Aug 2026 price cut $20k — to $950k
  • 28 Aug 2026 on market 3+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
2/113 Sutherland St2 bd · 1 ba$700kMay 2025
121/12 Church Av2 bd · 2 ba$980kApr 2025
5/24-28 John St2 bd · 1 ba$780kApr 2025
1102C/1 Muller La2 bd · 2 ba$828kMar 2025
4/17 John St2 bd · 2 ba$901kFeb 2025

Suburb risk flags

flood exposure 49% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise high · crime index: 59 — around sydney average · 9 min walk to Mascot · ~10 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 8 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Mascot — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

3 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Mascot · postcode 2020

$1000–$1200/wk is what 2-bed units in 2020 actually transact for (middle half of 192 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1100/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $740 → $1050/wk · +5% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2020, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Mascot units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2024Q3 $839k (4) · 2024Q4 $1170k (5) · 2025Q1 $754k (4) · 2025Q2 $748k (4)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Mascot, around 2 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
162/3-9 Church Avenueby 17 Aug 2026$735,0001Meriton
515/10 Galloway Streetby 17 Aug 2026$770,0001Meriton
320/8 Galloway Streetby 17 Aug 2026$760,0001Meriton
414/42 Church Avenueby 17 Aug 2026$1,390,0003Meriton
453/63 Church Avenueby 17 Aug 2026$900,0002Meriton

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same unit category, within 1 bedroom of 2, asking within 20% of this one, in Mascot or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
24 Nov 2020 $847,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.