15 Potter Av · Earlwood NSW 2206

Earlwood suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Earlwood suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed

4 bed · 2 bath · 4 car · House

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.18M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.18M–$2.95M
around $2.57M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.95M
$3.08M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 311 comparable auction sales (43 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 25 July 2026 auction: Passed in (Richardson & Wrench Hurlstone Park)
  • 15 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
  • 28 Aug 2026 on market 12+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound

Suburb risk flags

aircraft noise moderate · crime index: 23 — below sydney average · 17 min walk to Canterbury Metro · ~18 min metro to the CBD · trains ~every 15 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

12 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Earlwood · postcode 2206

$1038–$1462/wk is what 4-bed houses in 2206 actually transact for (middle half of 44 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1275/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $690 → $1000/wk · +5% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2206, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Development potential — how Canterbury-Bankstown Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 11.6% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 11.19% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
25 July 2026Passed inwithheldRichardson & Wrench Hurlstone Park

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Earlwood, around 4 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
9a David Street25 Aug 2026$1,376,0005Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
18 June 2025 $2,200,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.