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Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
82 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-09-03
The strata scheme
SP57556 · 406 lots
Scheme size provides context. It does not tell us the current levies, finances or condition of the building.
NSW strata register · registered 1998
What deserves a closer look
No dated campaign events are available here. That does not establish that the asking price or agent has never changed.
What we still cannot tell you
We do not have a current listing in this page's evidence. An address record is not proof that a home is for sale.
No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
Direct price support is limited. Read the comparable sales and the estimate's uncertainty together.
Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
What do the strata records show about current levies, planned works, meeting decisions and unresolved defects?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$3.27M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$3.27M–$4.51M
around $3.84M mid
STRETCH CAP
$4.51M
$5.46M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: Low — based on 82 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±16% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · priced from this property's own records: building age, land value · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~10% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-03
Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: building age, land value
Comparable support: 82 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 0 of this exact configuration
When to be more cautious: This configuration has thin direct comparable support, so its range is deliberately wider.
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · trains ~every 2 min at peak
Where every number comes from
Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-03 — trained on 169,356 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What to inspect before you offer
Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
The strata scheme: registration is recorded in 1998 and has 406 lots; ask for the strata report, planned works and levies.
Building condition: public records cannot establish that a building is defect-free; inspect independently.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Sydney · postcode 2000
$2138–$4375/wk is what 4-bed units in 2000 actually transact for (middle half of 14 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $3200/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $760 → $1150/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2000, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Sydney units at auction
Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
Auction week
Result
Price
Agency
1 Aug 2026
Withdrawn
withheld
Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills
11 July 2026
Postponed
withheld
Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills
27 June 2026
Postponed
withheld
Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Sydney, around 4 beds
Address
Sold
Price
Beds
Agency
321/420 Pitt Street
by 17 Aug 2026
$2,110,000
3
Meriton
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next
Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.
63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.
1,537 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP57556 registered 1998 — the building is at least 28 years old · 406 lots in the scheme (large scheme — expect facilities and higher levies).
2026-04-09 — Place of worship invest — 2 ST MARYS ROAD SYDNEY 2000 ($5338k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-625995, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Fort St PS (primary) · Inner Sydney HS (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1119 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Sydney — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.