The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Medium — based on 76 comparable auction sales (26 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/243 Ernest St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $1.08M | June 2025 |
| 1/370 Miller St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $1.63M | Mar 2025 |
| 12/40 Rosalind St | 2 bd · 2 ba | $1.35M | Mar 2025 |
| 13/390 Miller St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $1.2M | Nov 2024 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 23 — below sydney average · 19 min walk to Crows Nest Metro · ~8 min metro to the CBD · metro ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Cammeray — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Cammeray · postcode 2062
$769–$950/wk is what 2-bed units in 2062 actually transact for (middle half of 40 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $858/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $600 → $780/wk · +1% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2062, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Cammeray units at auction
Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):
2024Q2 $1388k (8) · 2024Q3 $1180k (7) · 2024Q4 $1550k (5) · 2025Q2 $925k (3)
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | Sold prior | withheld | McGrath Crows Nest |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Planning & zoning — R3 Medium Density Residential
Townhouses, villas and low-rise units permitted — expect gradual medium-density infill.
Zone R3 (Medium Density Residential) under the NORTH SYDNEY LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~114 m · 20 Palmer Street Cammeray 2062 | Garages, Carports And Car Parking Spaces | Determined | Approved | $25k | 2020-09-11 |
| ~127 m · 9 Kyngdon Street Cammeray 2062 | Demolition, Multi-Dwelling Housing · 3 new dwellings | Determined | Approved | $1.4M | 2020-07-20 |
| ~128 m · 101 9 Kyngdon Street Cammeray 2062 | Residential Flat Building, Subdivision, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure | Determined | not on record | $134k | 2026-03-11 |
| ~139 m · 32 Jenkins Street Cammeray 2062 | Dwelling · 1 new dwelling | Rejected | not on record | $261k | 2020-06-22 |
| ~139 m · 32 Jenkins Street Cammeray 2062 | Dwelling · 1 new dwelling | Withdrawn | not on record | $261k | 2020-08-11 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
School catchments
Cammeray PS (primary) · Mosman HS (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1153 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Green space nearby
Protected public recreation land within 100 m
Land zoned RE1 under the local environmental plan — reserved for public recreation, which protects it from being built over. The zoning doesn't say what's on it or how usable it is, and this layer doesn't carry park names.
Privately-zoned recreation land (RE2 — typically golf courses or club grounds) within 2000 m. Private land: green outlook, not public open space.
Straight-line distance, not walking distance. NSW ePlanning planning layers (Land Zoning), CC BY. Distances are ladder buckets measured at the address's geocoded point.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.