Currently listed — $3,050,000
3 bed · 1 bath · House · 271 m² land
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 174 comparable auction sales (26 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 19 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 19 Aug 2026 asking $3.05M
- 27 Aug 2026 on market 8+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 White St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $3.04M | Apr 2025 |
| 36 Fitzroy Av | 3 bd · 1 ba | $3.42M | Apr 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 42 — around sydney average · 16 min walk to Balmain East Wharf · ~12 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 15 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Balmain — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
8 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Land — for a house, the land is the asset
271 m²
A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Balmain, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 Gow Street | 19 Aug 2026 | $1,550,000 | 3 | Harris Partners |
| 15 Bradford Street | 1 July 2026 | $2,125,000 | 3 | Harris Partners |
| 311/22 Colgate Avenue | 3 June 2026 | $1,800,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
| 8/1 Rosebery Place | 18 May 2026 | $1,322,500 | 2 | Harris Partners |
| 94 Glassop Street | 9 Oct 2025 | $3,560,000 | 4 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Balmain or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
What's changing in Balmain — recent local signals
2026-02-05 — Aged care / seniors departure — 13-13A THAMES STREET BALMAIN 2041 ($10k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-610806, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Balmain PS (primary) · SSC Balmain (secondary)
4 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1132 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Balmain — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.