The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 122 comparable auction sales (1 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 802B/260 Anzac Pde | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.93M | June 2025 |
| 205E/103-105 Doncaster Av | 3 bd · 3 ba | $1.46M | May 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 63 — above sydney average · 27 min walk to Kingsford Light Rail · ~28 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 8 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Kensington — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Local rents — postcode 2033 units, new tenancies
$800/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2033 (2026Q2, 172 bonds lodged).
The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 3-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Kensington units at auction
Measured like-for-like growth ≈ 3.0%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 16 quarters (41 sales).
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 July 2026 | Sold prior | withheld | Belle Property Randwick |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 14 June 2026 | $1,420,000 | — |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
Planning & zoning — E2 Commercial Centre
A major retail/office core — the busiest, most built-up kind of location.
Zone E2 (Commercial Centre) under the RANDWICK LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~47 m · 9-15 Ascot Street Kensington 2033 | Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Minor Building Alterations (External) | Additional Information Requested | not on record | $564k | 2026-08-04 |
| ~75 m · 5 Bowral Street Kensington 2033 | Restaurant Or Cafe, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Retail Premise | Under Assessment | not on record | $18k | 2026-04-02 |
| ~105 m · 6-10 Bowral Street, Kensington | Demolition, Residential Flat Building, Shop Top Housing · 34 new dwellings | Determined | not on record | $21.9M | 2024-03-22 |
| ~133 m · 10 Bowral Street Kensington 2033 | Residential Flat Building · 44 new dwellings | Determined | not on record | $16.75M | 2022-04-06 |
| ~144 m · 101 Anzac Parade, Kensington | Mixed Use Development · 197 new dwellings | Deferred Commencement | not on record | $103.98M | 2022-08-04 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP74835 registered 2005 — the building is at least 21 years old · 21 lots in the scheme.
Registration is an age floor, not a build date — a converted building is older than its strata plan. Scheme records from the NSW Strata Hub. © State of New South Wales (Spatial Services, a business unit of the Department of Customer Service NSW). For current information go to spatial.nsw.gov.au.
What's changing in Kensington — recent local signals
2026-08-08 — South Coogee to Kingsford walking & cycling corridor (stage-zero.json (date = register entry, not decision — check stageNote for the real dates))
2026-06-11 — Place of worship departure — 1 ROMA AVENUE KENSINGTON 2033 ($91k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-646359, OnlineDA))
2025-07-01 — Childcare departure — 31 TODMAN AVENUE KENSINGTON 2033 ($1137k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-548829, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Kensington PS (primary) · Randwick HS (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1084 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.