









Withdrawn from sale (22 Aug 2026)
5 bed · 3 bath · 3 car · House · 470 m² land
The campaign was withdrawn before a sale was published.
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 139 comparable auction sales (17 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40 Mermaid Av | 5 bd · 3 ba | $9M | June 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
aircraft noise low · crime index: 52 — around sydney average · 37 min walk to Kingsford Light Rail · ~28 min light rail to the CBD · light rail ~every 8 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Maroubra — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Maroubra · postcode 2035
$1800–$2300/wk is what 5-bed houses in 2035 actually transact for (middle half of 43 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $2000/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $770 → $1350/wk · +10% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2035, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Withdrawn | withheld | PPD Real Estate |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 2 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 5, asking within 20% of this one, in Maroubra or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next
Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.
63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.
1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Sept 2022 | $4,720,000 | — |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
What's changing in Maroubra — recent local signals
2025-12-03 — Education new — 29 SNAPE STREET MAROUBRA 2035 ($420k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-595449, OnlineDA))
2025-11-05 — Aged care / seniors new — 481 MALABAR ROAD MAROUBRA 2035 ($186634k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-585507, OnlineDA))
2025-09-16 — Health invest — 1 311-313 MALABAR ROAD MAROUBRA 2035 ($541k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-571781, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Maroubra Bay PS (primary) · Sth Sydney HS (secondary)
5 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1051 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Maroubra — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.