204/1 Brightwell La · Erskineville NSW 2043

Erskineville suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Erskineville suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.09M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.09M–$1.35M
around $1.22M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.35M
$1.43M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 249 comparable auction sales (12 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
501/2 Pearl St2 bd · 1 ba$880kSept 2025
19/127 Railway Pde2 bd · 1 ba$1.28MJuly 2025
722/5 Hadfields St2 bd · 2 ba$1.23MMay 2025
601/2 Pearl St2 bd · 1 ba$1.21MMay 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 50 — around sydney average · 2 min walk to Erskineville · ~7 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 9 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Erskineville — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Erskineville · postcode 2043

$1000–$1200/wk is what 2-bed units in 2043 actually transact for (middle half of 54 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1100/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $660 → $900/wk · +4% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2043, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Erskineville units at auction

Measured like-for-like growth ≈ 4.0%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 17 quarters (105 sales).

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
25 July 2026WithdrawnwithheldRay White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Erskineville, around 2 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
8503/177-219 Mitchell Road9 Mar 2026$965,0002Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next

Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.

63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.

1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.