The listing we observed
2 bedrooms · ApartmentUnitFlat
Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.
Juan D'Arcy · last observed 6 Oct 2026← swipe · 10 photos
Currently listed — $1,700,000
2 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · Apartment / Unit
Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
169 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-09-15The strata scheme
SP74896 · 131 lots
Scheme size provides context. It does not tell us the current levies, finances or condition of the building.
NSW strata register · registered 2005What deserves a closer look
- asking $1.7M
- auction: Postponed (Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills)
- first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.
What we still cannot tell you
- No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
- What do the strata records show about current levies, planned works, meeting decisions and unresolved defects?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$1.36M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.36M–$1.69M
around $1.51M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.69M
$1.95M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: High — based on 169 comparable auction sales (47 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · priced from this property's own records: building age, land value · the model's typical miss is ~10% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
- Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-15
- Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: building age, land value
- Comparable support: 169 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 47 of this exact configuration
- When to be more cautious: Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract are not model inputs and can move the eventual sale price.
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 216/1 Missenden Rd | 2 bd · 1 ba | $800k | June 2025 |
| 4/25 Barr St | 2 bd · 2 ba | $1.43M | June 2025 |
| 602/1-3 Larkin St | 2 bd · 2 ba | $1.32M | June 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 100 — well above sydney average · 16 min walk to Newtown · ~8 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-15 — trained on 169,861 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Camperdown — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What changed recently?
- 21 Sept 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 3 Oct 2026 auction: Postponed (Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills)
- 3 Oct 2026 asking $1.7M
- 9 Oct 2026 on market 17+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
- The strata scheme: registration is recorded in 2005 and has 131 lots; ask for the strata report, planned works and levies.
- Building condition: public records cannot establish that a building is defect-free; inspect independently.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
17 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Camperdown · postcode 2050
$940–$1150/wk is what 2-bed units in 2050 actually transact for (middle half of 67 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1000/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $640 → $870/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2050, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Camperdown units at auction
Measured like-for-like growth ≈ 2.4%/yr — 1-bed sold-price medians across 16 quarters (55 sales).
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | Postponed | withheld | Ray White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Camperdown, around 2 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203/7 Sterling Circuit | 26 Sept 2026 | $860,000 | 1 | Harris Partners |
| 35/5-13 Larkin Street | 25 May 2026 | $1,080,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
| 24/5-13 Larkin Street | 16 Jan 2026 | $550,000 | 1 | Harris Partners |
| 202/1 Layton Street | 4 Apr 2025 | $850,000 | 1 | Harris Partners |
| 11/1 Barr Street | 22 Jan 2025 | $1,155,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
$1,700,000
707/147 Ross St
Forest Lodge · 1.0 km away
2 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
$1,700,000
417/1a The Crescent
Forest Lodge · 1.0 km away
2 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
$1,700,000
C603/276 Bulwara Road
Ultimo · 2.2 km away
3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car
$1,700,000
278C Bulwara Road
Ultimo · 2.2 km away
3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
▼ Reduced 5.6% · $100k · 2 weeks ago
$1,700,000
511/66 Bowman Street
Pyrmont · 2.8 km away
2 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
▼ Reduced 5.6% · $100k · 2 weeks ago
$1,720,000
1916/18 Park Lane
Chippendale · 2.0 km away
3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same unit category, within 1 bedroom of 2, asking within 20% of this one, in Camperdown or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP74896 registered 2005 — the building is at least 21 years old · 131 lots in the scheme (large scheme — expect facilities and higher levies).
Registration is an age floor, not a build date — a converted building is older than its strata plan. Scheme records from the NSW Strata Hub. © State of New South Wales (Spatial Services, a business unit of the Department of Customer Service NSW). For current information go to spatial.nsw.gov.au.
What's changing in Camperdown — recent local signals
2026-10-01 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (50 Hopetoun Street, Camperdown, NSW 2050) (listing rea-152501548 (rea), first seen 2026-10-01)
2026-09-01 — Education departure — 8 MISSENDEN ROAD CAMPERDOWN 2050 ($1645k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-670014, OnlineDA))
2026-08-14 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (89-91 Fowler Street, Camperdown, NSW 2050) (listing rea-152052096 (rea), first seen 2026-08-14)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Newtown NPS (primary) · SSC Blackwattle Bay (secondary)
10 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1098 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Camperdown — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.