21A Onslow St · Canterbury NSW 2193

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Currently listed — $1,750,000

4 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · House · 300 m² land

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.73M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.73M–$2.2M
around $1.96M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.2M
$2.31M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 71 comparable auction sales (12 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 17 June 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
  • 18 July 2026 auction: Passed in (Richardson & Wrench Hurlstone Park)
  • 24 Aug 2026 asking $1.75M
  • 28 Aug 2026 on market 71 days — portal listing date

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
1 Napier St4 bd · 2 ba$1.91MMay 2025
4 Unwin St4 bd · 2 ba$2.04MMay 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 35 — below sydney average · 1 min walk to Canterbury Metro · ~18 min metro to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Canterbury — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

71 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Canterbury · postcode 2193

$975–$1322/wk is what 4-bed houses in 2193 actually transact for (middle half of 20 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1225/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $650 → $900/wk · +3% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2193, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

300 m²

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Development potential — how Canterbury-Bankstown Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 11.6% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 11.19% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
18 July 2026Passed inwithheldRichardson & Wrench Hurlstone Park

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 4, asking within 20% of this one, in Canterbury or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.