22/19-25 Flinders Rd · Earlwood NSW 2206

Earlwood suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs · building dossier

Earlwood suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed — $1,360,000

2 bed · 1 bath · 1 car · Townhouse · 175 m² land

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$950k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$950k–$1.34M
around $1.14M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.34M
$1.63M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 15 comparable auction sales · model runs ±17% for this configuration · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 21 July 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
  • 15 Aug 2026 auction: Passed in (Adrian William)
  • 24 Aug 2026 asking $1.36M
  • 28 Aug 2026 on market 37 days — portal listing date

Suburb risk flags

aircraft noise moderate · crime index: 23 — below sydney average · 17 min walk to Canterbury Metro · ~18 min metro to the CBD · trains ~every 15 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

37 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Earlwood · postcode 2206

$615–$775/wk is what 2-bed units in 2206 actually transact for (middle half of 20 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $700/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $480 → $685/wk · +8% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2206, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Earlwood units at auction

Not enough Earlwood unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
15 Aug 2026Passed inwithheldAdrian William

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 2 listings above are on the market now: same townhouse category, within 1 bedroom of 2, asking within 20% of this one, in Earlwood or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.