The listing we observed
2 bedrooms · ApartmentUnitFlat
Listing details describe the advertised home. They do not verify its condition or approved use.
Joe Du · last observed 4 July 2026Last seen listed — $1,150,000 · not confirmed in 76 days
2 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · Apartment / Unit
⏳ We haven't been able to re-confirm this listing since 4 July 2026 — it may have sold or been withdrawn since; the price shown is the last one advertised.
Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
84 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-09-03What deserves a closer look
- asking $1.15M
- listed by the agency (portal date)
These are recorded events, not evidence of the seller's motivation.
What we still cannot tell you
- No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
- What do the strata records show about current levies, planned works, meeting decisions and unresolved defects?
- Do the planning and heritage records match this exact lot, and what approvals exist for alterations?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$989k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$989k–$1.23M
around $1.1M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.23M
$1.4M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: Medium — based on 84 comparable auction sales (30 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
- Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-03
- Inputs used for this home: no per-address records were available; this uses location and configuration only
- Comparable support: 84 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 30 of this exact configuration
- When to be more cautious: Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract are not model inputs and can move the eventual sale price.
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 34/2 Crewe Pl | 2 bd · 2 ba | $1.31M | Sept 2025 |
| 75/8 Crewe Pl | 2 bd · 2 ba | $1.3M | July 2025 |
| 91/767 Botany Rd | 2 bd · 2 ba | $1.12M | May 2025 |
| 351/102 Dalmeny Av | 2 bd · 1 ba | $945k | May 2025 |
| 321/5 Queen St | 2 bd · 2 ba | $1M | Apr 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
flood exposure 42% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise low · crime index: 45 — around sydney average · 22 min walk to Green Square · ~8 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 8 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-03 — trained on 169,356 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Rosebery — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What changed recently?
- 30 June 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
- 1 July 2026 asking $1.15M
- 19 Sept 2026 on market 81 days — portal listing date
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
- Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.
- Building condition: public records cannot establish that a building is defect-free; inspect independently.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
81 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Rosebery · postcode 2018
$750–$1150/wk is what 2-bed units in 2018 actually transact for (middle half of 163 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1000/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $660 → $950/wk · +5% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2018, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Rosebery units at auction
Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):
2024Q3 $1200k (7) · 2024Q4 $1109k (8) · 2025Q1 $1160k (3) · 2025Q2 $1001k (7)
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Rosebery, around 2 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 730/4 Stedman Street | by 17 Aug 2026 | $920,000 | 2 | Meriton |
| 415/54 Rosebery Avenue | by 17 Aug 2026 | $1,030,000 | 2 | Meriton |
| 610/1 Rothschild Avenue | by 17 Aug 2026 | $615,000 | 1 | Meriton |
| G43/29 Rothschild Avenue | by 17 Aug 2026 | $1,480,000 | 3 | Meriton |
| 516/3 Confectioners Way | by 17 Aug 2026 | $1,200,000 | 2 | Meriton |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
$1,150,000
702/101 Dalmeny Avenue
Rosebery
3 bed · 2 bath · 2 car
$1,150,000
416/555 Gardeners Road
Mascot · 1.2 km away
3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
$1,150,000
305/5 Joynton Avenue
Zetland · 1.4 km away
2 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
$1,150,000
31/3 Victoria Park Parade
Zetland · 1.4 km away
2 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
$1,150,000
407/9-15 Ascot Street
Kensington · 1.8 km away
2 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
$1,150,000
506/15 Ralph Street
Alexandria · 2.1 km away
2 bed · 2 bath · 1 car
▼ Reduced 8% · $100k · 4 weeks ago
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same unit category, within 1 bedroom of 2, asking within 20% of this one, in Rosebery or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Planning & zoning — MU1 Mixed Use
Shops/offices below, apartments above. Walkable and lively, but denser and busier.
Floor space ratio 1:1 — the maximum gross floor area you can build is 1:1 times the site area.
Zone MU1 (Mixed Use) under the SYDNEY LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Active state-pipeline project within 150m: 1-3 Rosebery Avenue, Rosebery (120m — SSD-87119707)
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
This property sits within 150m of an active state-pipeline project. Adjacent construction — especially deep excavation — is a documented damage pathway for existing buildings (Mascot Towers). Get an independent structural and strata inspection, and ask the strata manager about the neighbouring works, before you commit.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
What's changing in Rosebery — recent local signals
2026-08-15 — DA-approved site — listing's own words: "DA-approved" (163 Dunning Avenue, Rosebery, NSW 2018) (listing rea-151874492 (rea), first seen 2026-08-15)
2026-02-06 — Place of worship departure — 5-15 EPSOM ROAD ROSEBERY 2018 ($613k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-610583, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Gardeners Rd PS (primary) · J J Cahill MHS (secondary)
4 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1056 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.