26C Morrissey Rd · Erskineville NSW 2043

Erskineville suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Erskineville suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$2.22M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$2.22M–$3M
around $2.62M mid
STRETCH CAP
$3M
$3.14M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 168 comparable auction sales (4 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±15% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
15 Charles St3 bd · 2 ba$2.42MSept 2025
3 Binning St3 bd · 1 ba$2.38MJune 2025
35 Eve St3 bd · 2 ba$1.69MJune 2025
26 Devine St3 bd · 1 ba$1.82MJune 2025
1 Ada St3 bd · 2 ba$2.27MMay 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 50 — around sydney average · 2 min walk to Erskineville · ~7 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 9 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Erskineville — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Erskineville · postcode 2043

$1025–$1372/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2043 actually transact for (middle half of 35 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1200/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $740 → $950/wk · +1% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2043, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Development potential — how Council of the City of Sydney treats the work you might do

Refuses 2.61% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 3.08% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
11 July 2026Passed inwithheldRay White Erskineville | Alexandria | Glebe | Surry Hills

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Erskineville, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
8503/177-219 Mitchell Road9 Mar 2026$965,0002Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.