28/30 Stephen Rd · Botany NSW 2019

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Botany suburb ← Back to board

Withdrawn from sale (1 Aug 2026)

2 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · ApartmentUnitFlat

The campaign was withdrawn before a sale was published.

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$978k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$978k–$1.21M
around $1.09M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.21M
$1.38M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Medium — based on 92 comparable auction sales (30 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
2015/50 Pemberton St2 bd · 1 ba$1.07MJuly 2025
2407/55 Wilson St2 bd · 2 ba$980kJuly 2025
2407/55 Wilson St2 bd · 2 ba$980kJune 2025
3214/55 Wilson St2 bd · 2 ba$965kJune 2025
245/26 Jasmine St2 bd · 1 ba$727kMay 2025
29/90-92 Bay St2 bd · 2 ba$900kMay 2025

Suburb risk flags

flood exposure 79% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise moderate · crime index: 29 — below sydney average · 24 min walk to Domestic Airport · ~12 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 8 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Botany — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Botany · postcode 2019

$900–$1000/wk is what 2-bed units in 2019 actually transact for (middle half of 58 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $950/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $570 → $900/wk · +8% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2019, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Botany units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2024Q4 $1025k (6) · 2025Q1 $919k (4) · 2025Q2 $950k (11) · 2025Q3 $980k (3)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
1 Aug 2026WithdrawnwithheldPRD Perez Real Estate

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next

Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.

63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.

1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
5 Apr 2024 $1,065,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.