Botany · Sydney NSW

Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction

Modelled from 169,861 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.

Buildings in Botany — full dossiers: every sale, turnover, orders, what units rent for

The 20 most-transacted of 64 Botany buildings with dossiers — the rest are reachable from these pages and the sitemap. Sales counts and resale records from NSW Valuer General bulk data (CC-BY); lot counts from the NSW Strata Hub register. Each dossier also states what public records cannot tell you.

Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates

Units

Houses

Townhouses

Recent sold auction results in Botany from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.

What Botany actually sold for — published auction results, quarter by quarter

Quarterly medians of real published auction results (sold outcomes only). Historical results — not a prediction, valuation or financial advice.

All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions

Last 12 months: 230 settled sales · median $997,900 (middle half $762,500–$1,668,750)

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

What Botany homes rent for — real bonds lodged, postcode 2019

2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $610 → $910/wk median new-tenancy rent in 2019, all dwellings pooled · +7% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four).

Every figure is from NSW Fair Trading rental bond lodgements (CC BY) — rents tenants actually signed at, not advertised asks. Postcode is the finest geography the source publishes, and a postcode may span more than one suburb. Middle half = 25th–75th percentile. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)

Index 29 — below the Sydney average (50 = average) · band low

BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2019) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).

⭐ Yield vs growth — who pays here, and does it convert?

High yield AND measured growth. Gross yield 4.6% (bond-median rent $870/wk against a measured unit sale median of $980k) · measured growth +3.3%/yr — against metro medians of 4.1% and 1.7%/yr across 39 tracked suburbs.

Both sides above the metro median — rare, and worth checking the supply pipeline before believing it lasts.

Rent trajectory (new-tenancy bond medians, postcode 2019): +6.3%/yr over the last 3 years · +6.5%/yr since 2019 — a level is not a trend; both are shown so neither is implied.

Working: rent = NSW rental bond lodgements, flats, postcode level; growth = all-unit quarterly-median OLS — mix-sensitive, read as indicative over 15 quarters. Relative labels — "high" means above the metro median in this window, nothing more. Drivers are places and distances, never who lives here.

Delivered & approved supply — what got built around here, honestly windowed

292 dwellings approved in Botany between 2019-08-30 and 2023-04-29 (483 applications).

Census check: occupied dwellings grew from 3,650 (2016) to 5,193 (2021) — +1,543 delivered in that window, +941 of them apartments — measured completion, independent of any approval record.

Council portal records begin August 2019 — approvals before that date are invisible to the automated count and appear here only where curated from public record (and say so). Approved also precedes completed by 1–3 years. State-assessed projects live in the fast-track section, not these counts.

State-assessed housing nearby — the fast-track pipeline within 2.5km, refused declarations included

220 dwellings · 205 O'Riordan Street, Mascot · 2km away · Iris Hotels Sydney Airport Property Pty Ltd
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2025-10-27

150 dwellings · 118 - 122 Coward Street, Rosebery · 2.1km away · The Uniting Church in Australia Synod of NSW & ACT
Declared State Significant — on the fast-track · HDA record, 2026-06-22

1,000 dwellings · 19A Evans Ave, Eastlakes · 2.5km away · Conquest
Declared State Significant — on the fast-track · HDA record, 2025-07-15

Known pipeline within 2.5km: 1,370 dwellings across 3 projects — future supply IF approved and built. More homes coming can mean growth in services and momentum, but also more stock competing with a resale.

Supply concentration: one applicant (Conquest) is behind the entire known nearby pipeline (1,000 dwellings, 73% of the known pipeline). Concentrated supply cuts both ways: delivery is likelier, but future sales and rentals compete with the same pipeline's next release — a cap the growth numbers won't show. Applicants can be planning consultants acting for a developer.

These proposals go straight to NSW state assessment (Housing Delivery Authority pathway) and never appear in council DA counts. Dwelling numbers are the applicant's EOI figures — assessment can trim them. Distance is suburb-centre to project, ±500m.

Schools — density, catchment and community profile

3 primary schools within 2km · nearest school ~0.71km · 1 selective within 5km · ICSEA 1042

Catchment (suburb-centre approximation): Botany PS · Sth Sydney HS — a boundary address can differ; verify yours at NSW School Finder.

ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (My School, national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score. NSW DoE school locations + intake zones, CC BY 4.0.

Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance

Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-10-10 — 46.4% of 483 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-10-10 — 37% of 669 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.

Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted

Recent auction addresses in Botany

Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.

43/21-23 Myrtle St · 12/30 Stephen Rd · 25 Tenterden Rd · 16 Kurnell St · 19 Bay St · 4/12 Edward St · 71 Tenterden Rd · 1 Brown Av · 38B Kurnell St · 151 Bay St · 54 Banksia St · 334/26 Jasmine St · 11 Jasmine St · 38/34 Bay St · 3/30-34 Folkestone Pde · 13/42-54 Daphne St

Housing and jobs targets — BAYSIDE LGA

Under the NSW Government's 20-year Sydney plan, BAYSIDE has a five-year housing target of 10,100 new homes (2024–2029) and a jobs target of 21,000–29,000 additional jobs by 2046.

The housing target is the supply pipeline for the area: the number of new homes the state expects the council to plan capacity for, concentrated around the centres and station areas the Plan nominates. The jobs figure is published as an aspirational range and is not legislated the way housing targets are.

Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix D — Housing and Employment Guidance (published 13 August 2026), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026