Currently listed
3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · ApartmentUnitFlat
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 249 comparable auction sales (8 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 14 Aug 2026 our tracking restarted after a six-week portal gap — the campaign start is unknown, this is not a listing date
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/21-25 Coulson St | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.17M | July 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 50 — around sydney average · 2 min walk to Erskineville · ~7 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 9 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Erskineville — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Erskineville · postcode 2043
$1288–$1550/wk is what 3-bed units in 2043 actually transact for (middle half of 28 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1438/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $660 → $900/wk · +4% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2043, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Erskineville units at auction
Measured like-for-like growth ≈ 4.0%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 17 quarters (105 sales).
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Erskineville, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8503/177-219 Mitchell Road | 9 Mar 2026 | $965,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Planning & zoning — E1 Local Centre
A retail/commercial hub — shops and services at your door, but busier and noisier.
Floor space ratio 1.75:1 — the maximum gross floor area you can build is 1.75:1 times the site area.
Zone E1 (Local Centre) under the SYDNEY LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
School catchments
Erskineville PS (primary) · Alexandria Park CS (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1085 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Erskineville — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.