312/669 Gardeners Road · Mascot NSW 2020

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Last seen listed · not confirmed in 54 days

3 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · ApartmentUnitFlat

⏳ We haven't been able to re-confirm this listing since 4 July 2026 — it may have sold or been withdrawn since; the price shown is the last one advertised.

View the original listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1M–$1.48M
around $1.23M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.48M
$1.75M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 59 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±19% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 3 July 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
  • 28 Aug 2026 on market 55+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound

Suburb risk flags

flood exposure 49% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise high · crime index: 59 — around sydney average · 9 min walk to Mascot · ~10 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 8 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

55 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Mascot · postcode 2020

$1295–$1490/wk is what 3-bed units in 2020 actually transact for (middle half of 79 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1400/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $740 → $1050/wk · +5% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2020, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Mascot units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2024Q3 $839k (4) · 2024Q4 $1170k (5) · 2025Q1 $754k (4) · 2025Q2 $748k (4)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Mascot, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
414/42 Church Avenueby 17 Aug 2026$1,390,0003Meriton
453/63 Church Avenueby 17 Aug 2026$900,0002Meriton
401/12 Galloway Streetby 17 Aug 2026$1,375,0003Meriton
629/44 Church Avenueby 17 Aug 2026$955,0002Meriton

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
3 July 2026 $990,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.