Currently listed — $1,290,000
3 bed · 2 bath · 3 car · ApartmentUnitFlat
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 25 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±31% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 23 Apr 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
- 20 Aug 2026 asking $1.29M
- 28 Aug 2026 on market 126 days — portal listing date
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 66/10 Bidjigal Rd | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1.05M | June 2024 |
Suburb risk flags
aircraft noise high · crime index: 40 — around sydney average · 1 min walk to Arncliffe · ~14 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 10 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Arncliffe — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
126 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Arncliffe · postcode 2205
$900–$1200/wk is what 3-bed units in 2205 actually transact for (middle half of 34 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1050/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $620 → $850/wk · +3% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2205, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Arncliffe units at auction
Not enough Arncliffe unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same unit category, within 1 bedroom of 3, asking within 20% of this one, in Arncliffe or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Planning & zoning — MU1 Mixed Use
Shops/offices below, apartments above. Walkable and lively, but denser and busier.
Height limit 31m (≈ 10 storeys) — the current legal ceiling for new building at this point under the LEP. Any proposal above it needs a variation or a rezoning — the kind of change the fast-track pipeline tracks.
Floor space ratio 2.5:1 — the maximum gross floor area you can build is 2.5:1 times the site area.
Registered lot 1/DP1079510 · ~434 m² — The registered plan lot at this address's geocoded point (NSW cadastre). On semis, duplexes and recent subdivisions the registered lot can be the parent parcel — the portal's advertised land size can differ legitimately.
Registered lots in Arncliffe run 340–800 m² (middle 80% of 22 registered parcels). This one is 434 m² — inside that range.
Whether a block this size can be subdivided or redeveloped is a separate question: minimum lot size, setbacks and the council's DCP controls decide it, and this page doesn't check them. One point per registered parcel, so a tower's parent lot counts once — not once per unit. Confirm the parcel and its controls with the council before you inspect.
Zone MU1 (Mixed Use) under the BAYSIDE LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~81 m · 17 West Botany Street Arncliffe 2205 | Demolition, Erection Of A New Structure, Change Of Use Of Land Or A Building Or The Classification Of A Building Under The Building Code Of Australia · 90 new dwellings | Determined | not on record | $21.34M | 2025-01-15 |
| ~81 m · 17 West Botany Street Arncliffe 2205 | Residential Flat Building, Erection Of A New Structure, Residential Accommodation · 50 new dwellings | Additional Information Requested | not on record | $28.26M | 2026-05-06 |
| ~101 m · 2/20-22 Princes Highway Wolli Creek 2205 | Change Of Use · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $10k | 2021-07-01 |
| ~143 m · 11 Flora Street Arncliffe 2205 | Demolition, Residential Flat Building · 54 new dwellings | Determined | not on record | $24.36M | 2023-01-11 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Active state-pipeline project within 150m: 137A Princes Highway, Wolli Creek (140m — SSD-103606458)
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
This property sits within 150m of an active state-pipeline project. Adjacent construction — especially deep excavation — is a documented damage pathway for existing buildings (Mascot Towers). Get an independent structural and strata inspection, and ask the strata manager about the neighbouring works, before you commit.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP56932 registered 1998 — the building is at least 28 years old · 34 lots in the scheme.
Registration is an age floor, not a build date — a converted building is older than its strata plan. Scheme records from the NSW Strata Hub. © State of New South Wales (Spatial Services, a business unit of the Department of Customer Service NSW). For current information go to spatial.nsw.gov.au.
What's changing in Arncliffe — recent local signals
2025-08-05 — Education invest — 19 DOWLING STREET ARNCLIFFE 2205 ($743k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-558646, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Arncliffe PS (primary) · Bayside HS (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1067 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Green space nearby
Protected public recreation land within 100 m
Land zoned RE1 under the local environmental plan — reserved for public recreation, which protects it from being built over. The zoning doesn't say what's on it or how usable it is, and this layer doesn't carry park names.
Privately-zoned recreation land (RE2 — typically golf courses or club grounds) within 1000 m. Private land: green outlook, not public open space.
Straight-line distance, not walking distance. NSW ePlanning planning layers (Land Zoning), CC BY. Distances are ladder buckets measured at the address's geocoded point.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.