35 Richard Av · Earlwood NSW 2206

Earlwood suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Earlwood suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.85M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.85M–$2.35M
around $2.1M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.35M
$2.51M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: High — based on 311 comparable auction sales (24 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
4 Frost St3 bd · 1 ba$1.89MSept 2025
2 Caroline St3 bd · 2 ba$1.89MJuly 2025
1 Lanark Av3 bd · 2 ba$2.42MJune 2025
16 Francis St3 bd · 2 ba$2.35MJune 2025

Suburb risk flags

aircraft noise moderate · crime index: 23 — below sydney average · 17 min walk to Canterbury Metro · ~18 min metro to the CBD · trains ~every 15 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Earlwood — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Earlwood · postcode 2206

$870–$1200/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2206 actually transact for (middle half of 33 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $995/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $690 → $1000/wk · +5% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2206, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Development potential — how Canterbury-Bankstown Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 11.6% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 11.19% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
8 Aug 2026Sold$1,925,000McGrath Leichhardt

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.