4/1 Somerville Place · Manly Vale NSW 2093

Manly Vale suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Manly Vale suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed — $1,450,000

2 bed · 2 bath · 2 car · ApartmentUnitFlat

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.32M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.32M–$1.64M
around $1.48M mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.64M
$1.73M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 85 comparable auction sales (12 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 3 Oct 2025 listed by the agency (portal date)
  • 20 Aug 2026 asking $1.45M
  • 27 Aug 2026 on market 327 days — portal listing date

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
43/8 Koorala St2 bd · 2 ba$1.57MJune 2025
19/45-49 Campbell Pde2 bd · 1 ba$1.12MMay 2025
20/45-49 Campbell Pde2 bd · 1 ba$1.05MMar 2025
4/4 Fairway Cl2 bd · 1 ba$860kMar 2025
2/13 Fairway Cl2 bd · 1 ba$1MFeb 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 24 — below sydney average · ferries ~every 5 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Manly Vale — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

327 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Local rents — postcode 2093 units, new tenancies

$875/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2093 (2026Q2, 106 bonds lodged).

The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 2-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Manly Vale units at auction

Measured like-for-like growth ≈ 6.8%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 14 quarters (38 sales).

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Manly Vale, around 2 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
9/7-9 Quirk Road10 July 2026$1,335,0002Cunninghams
12/12 Fairway Close10 June 2026$1,190,0002Cunninghams
7B/29 Quirk Road22 May 2026$955,0002Cunninghams
35/76 Kenneth Road30 Apr 2026$1,250,0002Cunninghams
9 Parkes Street17 Apr 2026$2,580,0002Cunninghams

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same unit category, within 1 bedroom of 2, asking within 20% of this one, in Manly Vale or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.