Currently listed — $740,000
1 bed · 1 bath · 1 car · ApartmentUnitFlat
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 85 comparable auction sales (11 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 15 Aug 2026 our tracking restarted after a six-week portal gap — the campaign start is unknown, this is not a listing date
- 26 Aug 2026 asking $740k
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7/295 Condamine St | 1 bd · 1 ba | $713k | Feb 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 24 — below sydney average · ferries ~every 5 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Manly Vale — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Local rents — postcode 2093 units, new tenancies
$875/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2093 (2026Q2, 106 bonds lodged).
The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 1-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Manly Vale units at auction
Measured like-for-like growth ≈ 6.8%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 14 quarters (38 sales).
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Manly Vale, around 1 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9/7-9 Quirk Road | 10 July 2026 | $1,335,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 12/12 Fairway Close | 10 June 2026 | $1,190,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 7B/29 Quirk Road | 22 May 2026 | $955,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 35/76 Kenneth Road | 30 Apr 2026 | $1,250,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 9 Parkes Street | 17 Apr 2026 | $2,580,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same unit category, within 1 bedroom of 1, asking within 20% of this one, in Manly Vale or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP85769 registered 2011 — the building is at least 15 years old · 11 lots in the scheme.
Registration is an age floor, not a build date — a converted building is older than its strata plan. Scheme records from the NSW Strata Hub. © State of New South Wales (Spatial Services, a business unit of the Department of Customer Service NSW). For current information go to spatial.nsw.gov.au.
School catchments
Manly Vale PS (primary) · The Forest HS (secondary)
4 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1133 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Manly Vale — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.