Currently listed
2 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · ApartmentUnitFlat
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 31 comparable auction sales (13 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 7 Jan 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
- 28 Aug 2026 on market 232 days — portal listing date
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 403/12 Brodie Spark Dr | 2 bd · 2 ba | $942k | Sept 2025 |
| 502/3 Arncliffe St | 2 bd · 2 ba | $880k | Sept 2025 |
| 219/99B Bonar St | 2 bd · 2 ba | $808k | May 2025 |
| 9/32-34 Ann St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $873k | Feb 2025 |
| 31/95 Bonar St | 2 bd · 2 ba | $820k | Feb 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
aircraft noise moderate · crime index: 40 — around sydney average · 3 min walk to Wolli Creek · ~12 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 2 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Wolli Creek — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
232 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Wolli Creek · postcode 2205
$860–$950/wk is what 2-bed units in 2205 actually transact for (middle half of 199 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $900/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $620 → $850/wk · +3% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2205, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Wolli Creek units at auction
Not enough Wolli Creek unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Wolli Creek, around 2 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76/86-88 Bonar Street | by 17 Aug 2026 | $720,000 | 2 | Meriton |
| 502/6 Gertrude Street | by 17 Aug 2026 | $850,000 | 2 | Meriton |
| 106/24 Levey Street | 21 Apr 2022 | $618,000 | 1 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
School catchments
Arncliffe PS (primary) · Bayside HS (secondary)
5 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1053 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Wolli Creek — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.