419/186C Victoria Rd · Marrickville NSW 2204

Marrickville suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Marrickville suburb ← Back to board
← swipe · 10 photos

Currently listed

1 bed · 1 bath · 1 car · ApartmentUnitFlat

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$666k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$666k–$827k
around $746k mid
STRETCH CAP
$827k
$974k on the wider 80% band

Confidence: High — based on 315 comparable auction sales (42 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 18 July 2026 auction: Passed in (Adrian William)
  • 14 Aug 2026 our tracking restarted after a six-week portal gap — the campaign start is unknown, this is not a listing date
  • 18 Aug 2026 asking $860k

Suburb risk flags

aircraft noise high · crime index: 72 — above sydney average · 1 min walk to Marrickville Metro · ~12 min metro to the CBD · trains ~every 2 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Marrickville · postcode 2204

$509–$714/wk is what 1-bed units in 2204 actually transact for (middle half of 90 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $600/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $500 → $715/wk · +5% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2204, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Marrickville units at auction

Measured like-for-like growth ≈ 3.9%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 17 quarters (176 sales).

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
18 July 2026Passed inwithheldAdrian William

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Marrickville, around 1 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
1/10 Henson Street25 May 2025$850,0002Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Homes in Marrickville that passed in and later sold went for about 11% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 114 comparable sales in Marrickville, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.