Marrickville · Sydney NSW

Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction

Modelled from 146,492 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.

Buildings in Marrickville — full dossiers: every sale, turnover, orders, what units rent for

The 20 most-transacted of 105 Marrickville buildings with dossiers — the rest are reachable from these pages and the sitemap. Sales counts and resale records from NSW Valuer General bulk data (CC-BY); lot counts from the NSW Strata Hub register. Each dossier also states what public records cannot tell you.

Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates

Units

Houses

Townhouses

Recent sold auction results in Marrickville from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.

What Marrickville actually sold for — published auction results, quarter by quarter

Quarterly medians of real published auction results (sold outcomes only). Historical results — not a prediction, valuation or financial advice.

All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions

Last 12 months: 375 settled sales · median $1,543,000 (middle half $950,000–$2,150,000)

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)

Index 72 — above the Sydney average (50 = average) · band elevated

BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2204) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).

🏡 Yield vs growth — who pays here, and does it convert?

Owner-occupier premium. Gross yield 3.8% (bond-median rent $725/wk against a measured unit sale median of $985k) · measured growth +3.9%/yr — against metro medians of 4.1% and 1.7%/yr across 39 tracked suburbs.

Thin yield, real measured growth — priced by people who want to live here, not by the rent it earns.

Rent trajectory (new-tenancy bond medians, postcode 2204): +5.3%/yr over the last 3 years · +5.1%/yr since 2019 — a level is not a trend; both are shown so neither is implied.

Working: rent = NSW rental bond lodgements, flats, postcode level; growth = like-for-like 2-bed OLS (176 sales) over 17 quarters. Relative labels — "high" means above the metro median in this window, nothing more. Drivers are places and distances, never who lives here.

Delivered & approved supply — what got built around here, honestly windowed

1,205 dwellings approved in Marrickville between 2019-08-30 and 2023-04-29 (932 applications). Largest: 272dw 182 Victoria Road Marrickville 2204 (2021) · 158dw 158 Addison Road Marrickville 2204 (2021).

Census check: occupied dwellings grew from 9,756 (2016) to 11,689 (2021) — +1,933 delivered in that window, +610 of them apartments — measured completion, independent of any approval record.

Council portal records begin August 2019 — approvals before that date are invisible to the automated count and appear here only where curated from public record (and say so). Approved also precedes completed by 1–3 years. State-assessed projects live in the fast-track section, not these counts.

Anchor-tenant signals — where the big tenants put capital

Marrickville Metro (trading): works at the centre itself — ALDI approval 59m away (34 Victoria Road Marrickville 2204); works at the centre itself — Metro approval 59m away (34 Victoria Road Marrickville 2204); works at the centre itself — Metro approval 59m away (34 Victoria Road Marrickville 2204); nearby — Metro approval 187m away (20 Smidmore Street Marrickville 2204); nearby — Metro approval 187m away (20 Smidmore Street Marrickville 2204).

An anchor tenant building new premises near an existing centre is capital commitment — in the Eastlakes case it preceded demolition of the old site by years. At-centre works read the opposite way: investment in place. Detections are keyword matches over public planning records ("nearby" never claims common ownership); curated entries say so.

State-fiat planning programs — controls moved by state decision (RULE-002)

Transport Oriented Development Program · standard precinct — Marrickville · source

Low and Mid-Rise Housing reform — Marrickville station · controls from 2025-02-28 · source

A state-fiat listing changes what can be BUILT here — planning controls, height, density — by government decision, with no demand-demonstration step. It is a zoning signal, not a price signal: our own backtests found listed and unlisted suburbs moving together, so we don't claim price uplift from a listing. What it reliably means: development capacity changed on the date shown, checkable at the source.

Institutional moves — arrivals & departures, 12-month DA window

When an organisation with real money commits to a location — or abandons one — they've done homework you can't see. The market moves around that decision; the building is the visible end of it.

investing in place Education — 194-210 Wardell Road Marrickville 2204 · $34.0M works
Educational establishment · Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure · School · Determined · determined 2026-04-14 · PAN-588572

A DA is intent, not an opening — and a demolition DA is not always a closure (rebuilds happen). Classification is over the Planning Portal's own structured development types; every record above is checkable by its PAN number. Departures are deliberately listed first: almost nobody watches them. Supermarket-class moves live in the anchor-tenant section, not here. Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0.

State-assessed housing nearby — the fast-track pipeline within 2.5km, refused declarations included

28 Marrickville Avenue, Marrickville · 0.7km away
Determination — decision imminent · SSD-69377980

200 dwellings · 168 – 180 Victoria Rd, Marrickville · 1.1km away · Marchese Partners | Life 3a
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2025-08-29

262 dwellings · 45 - 55 Hercules St, Dulwich Hill · 1.5km away · QTHL Future Fund Pty Ltd
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2026-06-22

67 Mary Street, St Peters · 1.7km away
Determination — decision imminent · SSD-82639959

Discovery Point Place, Wolli Creek · 2km away
Preparing the EIS — design being documented · SSD-80058210

2-6 Discovery Point Place, Wolli Creek · 2km away
On the State Significant register · SSD-30257587

+ 2 more within 2.5km — see the full fast-track list.

Known pipeline within 2.5km: 732 dwellings across 8 projects — future supply IF approved and built. More homes coming can mean growth in services and momentum, but also more stock competing with a resale.

These proposals go straight to NSW state assessment (Housing Delivery Authority pathway) and never appear in council DA counts. Dwelling numbers are the applicant's EOI figures — assessment can trim them. Distance is suburb-centre to project, ±500m.

Schools — density, catchment and community profile

11 primary schools within 2km · nearest school ~0.6km · 4 selective within 5km · ICSEA 1105

Catchment (suburb-centre approximation): Marrickville WPS · Marrickville HS — a boundary address can differ; verify yours at NSW School Finder.

ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (My School, national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score. NSW DoE school locations + intake zones, CC BY 4.0.

Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance

Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-08-22 — 53.8% of 372 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-08-22 — 43% of 524 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.

Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted

Recent auction addresses in Marrickville

Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.

516 Illawarra Rd · 14 Excelsior Pde · 5/24-26 Glen St · 22 Ruby St · 276 Livingstone Rd · 502/326 Marrickville Rd · 6 Park Rd · 20 Garners Av · 614/186D Victoria Rd · 83 Illawarra Rd · 66 Calvert St · 5/468 Illawarra Rd · 2/20-22 Station St · 27/176 Marrickville Rd · 6 Enfield St · 44/18 Cecilia St · 259 Livingstone Rd · 12/342a Marrickville Rd · 216/186C Victoria Rd · 10/38 George St · 47 Llewellyn St · 16 Warren Rd · 3/136 Livingstone Rd · 52 Illawarra Rd · 903/186C Victoria Rd · 16/1-5 Glen St · 3/58 Warren Rd · 419/186C Victoria Rd · 15 Gladstone St · 185 Addison Rd

Development pipeline — what's proposed in Marrickville, and how far along it is

State-pipeline proposals (pre-DA — the biggest projects start here)

• 14 Rich Street,1/12 Rich Street, 59 Shepherd Street, 61 - 65 Shepherd Street, Marrickville — Mixed use development including 550 apartments with local - oriented retail, entertainment, high - tech and creative industrial spaces. Approximately 10% of the total residential floor space will be dedicated to affordab
  Architectus · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 132 - 134 Marrickville Road, 10 Gerald Street, Marrickville — Construction of a 12 - storey (approx. 40m) shop - top housing development, with commercial and light industrial spaces, 132 dwellings and 10% of residential GFA dedicated to affordable housing over a 15 - year period.
  Kejara Property Pty Ltd · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 1 – 15 Byrne s Street, 29 – 41 O’Hara Street & 20 – 22 Central Avenue, Marrickville — 12 – 15 storey building with 250 dwellings with 17% affordable housing (15% for 15 years and 2% in perpetuity)
  Third.i Property Group · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 168 – 180 Victoria Rd, Marrickville — 200 apartments including 15% affordable housing with commercial floor space.
  Marchese Partners | Life 3a · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)

Major applications in the DA channel

Plus 253 smaller applications (renovations, single dwellings, signage) — 4 cancelled, 90 determined, 21 withdrawn, 21 lodged, 112 approved, 3 refused, 2 rejected.

What this view cannot see

• Council DAs from the NSW Planning Portal open feed, matched within ~150 m of addresses we track — a proximity net, not a complete register.
• Verdicts (approved/refused) come from a dataset frozen in Nov 2023: anything determined after that shows “determined” without a published outcome. Check the application on the NSW Planning Portal for the current decision.
• The largest master-planned sites can proceed as State Significant Development or planning proposals and never appear as council DAs. State-pipeline EOIs shown here are proposals, not applications, and can change or lapse.
• No feed we hold ties a construction certificate to a specific application, so no project row here can honestly read “under construction” — “approved” never means “built”. Suburb-level construction-certificate volume appears in the DA-volume section.

Housing and jobs targets — INNER WEST LGA

Under the NSW Government's 20-year Sydney plan, INNER WEST has a five-year housing target of 7,800 new homes (2024–2029) and a jobs target of 15,000–21,600 additional jobs by 2046.

The housing target is the supply pipeline for the area: the number of new homes the state expects the council to plan capacity for, concentrated around the centres and station areas the Plan nominates. The jobs figure is published as an aspirational range and is not legislated the way housing targets are.

Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix D — Housing and Employment Guidance (published 13 August 2026), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026

State rezoning pipeline — Inner West LGA

The Sydney Plan lists 3 state significant rezoning sites in this LGA — land the NSW Government is rezoning (or has rezoned) for additional homes and jobs, alongside council-led supply. Dwelling and jobs figures are preliminary estimates provided by proponents or councils.

• Parramatta Road (Leichhardt/Camperdown) — ~8,000 dwellings · assessment underway, announced Sept 2025
• Bays West Precinct — ~8,500 dwellings · assessment underway, announced Nov 2024
• WestConnex Dive Site, Annandale (Landcom) — ~580 dwellings, ~50 jobs · rezoning completed Dec 2025

These are LGA-level sites, not a statement about any individual property; the Plan does not publish site boundaries or coordinates in this appendix. Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix F — State-led or assessed rezonings (published 13 August 2026, updated every 6 months), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026