Recorded sales at this address
1 recorded sale
A previous sale is a useful reference, but its date and any changes to the home matter. It is not today's value.
Valuation NSW · dates and prices in Sale history belowYour buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
39 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-09-15Planning activity nearby
1 recorded application at or near this address
An application is not an approval or a promise that building work will happen. Location and stage matter.
NSW Planning Portal · individual records in Explore the areaWhat deserves a closer look
No dated campaign events are available here. That does not establish that the asking price or agent has never changed.
What we still cannot tell you
- We do not have a current listing in this page's evidence. An address record is not proof that a home is for sale.
- Direct price support is limited. Read the comparable sales and the estimate's uncertainty together.
- Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
- Which nearby applications affect this home, and what stage has each actually reached?
- Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
- What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
- What do the strata records show about current levies, planned works, meeting decisions and unresolved defects?
- Do the planning and heritage records match this exact lot, and what approvals exist for alterations?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$837k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$837k–$1.04M
around $929k mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.04M
$1.18M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: Low — based on 39 comparable auction sales (15 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · priced from this property's own records: previous sale · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
- Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-15
- Inputs used for this home: priced from this property's own records: previous sale
- Comparable support: 39 sales in the wider suburb/type pool; 15 of this exact configuration
- When to be more cautious: Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract are not model inputs and can move the eventual sale price.
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5/192-194 William St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $785k | Feb 2025 |
| 29/156-158 Homer St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $850k | Nov 2024 |
| 24/97 Homer St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $920k | Sept 2024 |
| 1/132 Homer St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $835k | Aug 2024 |
| 15/90-94 Riverview Rd | 2 bd · 2 ba | $1.12M | June 2024 |
Suburb risk flags
aircraft noise moderate · crime index: 23 — below sydney average · 17 min walk to Canterbury Metro · ~18 min metro to the CBD · trains ~every 15 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-15 — trained on 169,861 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Earlwood — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What to inspect before you offer
- Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
- 1 development application is recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
- Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.
- Building condition: public records cannot establish that a building is defect-free; inspect independently.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Earlwood · postcode 2206
$615–$775/wk is what 2-bed units in 2206 actually transact for (middle half of 20 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $700/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $480 → $685/wk · +8% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2206, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Earlwood units at auction
Not enough Earlwood unit auctions on record to show a trend — this fills in as the archive grows.
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 June 2026 | Sold prior | $1,075,000 | — |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address
| Exchanged | Price | Change since prior sale |
|---|---|---|
| 6 June 2026 | $1,075,000 | — |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
Planning & zoning — E1 Local Centre
A retail/commercial hub — shops and services at your door, but busier and noisier.
Height limit 10m (≈ 3 storeys) — the current legal ceiling for new building at this point under the LEP. Any proposal above it needs a variation or a rezoning — the kind of change the fast-track pipeline tracks.
Strata plan SP88062 · scheme parcel ~1,427 m² — A strata-titled scheme — the parcel area is the WHOLE scheme's land, not this unit's. From the NSW cadastre at this address's geocoded point.
Zone E1 (Local Centre) under the CANTERBURY-BANKSTOWN LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~111 m · 42 Homer Street Earlwood 2206 | Alterations And Additions To Residential Development | Determined | Approved | $348k | 2021-05-04 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
What's changing in Earlwood — recent local signals
2026-10-14 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (6 Coney Road, Earlwood, NSW 2206) (listing rea-152622104 (rea), first seen 2026-10-14)
2026-10-06 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (20 Gueudecourt Avenue, Earlwood, NSW 2206) (listing rea-152539052 (rea), first seen 2026-10-06)
2026-09-30 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (47 Waterside Crescent, Earlwood, NSW 2206) (listing rea-152479812 (rea), first seen 2026-09-30)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Undercliffe PS (primary) · Marrickville HS (secondary)
8 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1054 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.