5/468 Illawarra Rd · Marrickville NSW 2204

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Marrickville suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$881k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$881k–$1.09M
around $986k mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.09M
$1.29M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: High — based on 315 comparable auction sales (94 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
28/29-35 Cowper St2 bd · 2 ba$1.28MSept 2025
2/169 Livingstone Rd2 bd · 1 ba$860kSept 2025
410/186B Victoria Rd2 bd · 2 ba$1.4MSept 2025
13/480 Illawarra Rd2 bd · 1 ba$800kSept 2025
3/48-52 Hill St2 bd · 1 ba$985kSept 2025
6/13-15 Glen St2 bd · 1 ba$840kJuly 2025

Suburb risk flags

aircraft noise high · crime index: 72 — above sydney average · 1 min walk to Marrickville Metro · ~12 min metro to the CBD · trains ~every 2 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Marrickville — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Marrickville · postcode 2204

$700–$905/wk is what 2-bed units in 2204 actually transact for (middle half of 124 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $750/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $500 → $715/wk · +5% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2204, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Marrickville units at auction

Measured like-for-like growth ≈ 3.9%/yr — 2-bed sold-price medians across 17 quarters (176 sales).

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
8 Aug 2026Passed inwithheldRaine & Horne Marrickville | Dulwich Hill

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Marrickville, around 2 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
52 Malakoff Street12 Mar 2026$2,050,0003Harris Partners
1/10 Henson Street25 May 2025$850,0002Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Homes in Marrickville that passed in and later sold went for about 11% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 114 comparable sales in Marrickville, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.