









Currently listed
1 bed · 1 bath · 0 car · ApartmentUnitFlat
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 68 comparable auction sales (35 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 14 Aug 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
- 30 Aug 2026 on market 15 days — portal listing date
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 43/25 Billyard Av | 1 bd · 1 ba | $1.5M | Sept 2025 |
| 16/53-55 Elizabeth Bay Rd | 1 bd · 1 ba | $870k | July 2025 |
| 17/2 Greenknowe Av | 1 bd · 1 ba | $885k | May 2025 |
| 618/50-58 Macleay St | 1 bd · 1 ba | $905k | May 2025 |
| 45/41-49 Roslyn Gdns | 1 bd · 1 ba | $735k | May 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 98 — well above sydney average · 11 min walk to Kings Cross · ~5 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Elizabeth Bay — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
15 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Elizabeth Bay · postcode 2011
$580–$825/wk is what 1-bed units in 2011 actually transact for (middle half of 353 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $695/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $590 → $735/wk · +11% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2011, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Elizabeth Bay units at auction
Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):
2024Q4 $1430k (5) · 2025Q1 $1550k (9) · 2025Q2 $905k (8) · 2025Q3 $1185k (4)
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Elizabeth Bay, around 1 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 701/40 Macleay Street | by 16 Aug 2026 | $1,200,000 | 1 | Laing+Simmons |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Planning & zoning — R1 General Residential
A mix of housing types — houses through to apartments — permitted.
Heritage-listed — Flat building 'Marlborough Hall'. This building is individually heritage-listed by council. External changes need heritage approval and demolition is off the table — protective, but it limits what you can do.
Floor space ratio 4:1 — the maximum gross floor area you can build is 4:1 times the site area.
Strata plan SP14373 — A strata-titled scheme — the parcel area is the WHOLE scheme's land, not this unit's. From the NSW cadastre at this address's geocoded point.
Zone R1 (General Residential) under the SYDNEY LEP · heritage from the NSW Heritage Map layer, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~50 m · 4-4a Barncleuth Square Elizabeth Bay 2011 | Residential Flat Building · 9 new dwellings | Determined | not on record | $17.31M | 2023-05-05 |
| ~50 m · 4-4a Barncleuth Square Elizabeth Bay 2011 | Signage, Advertising And Signage, Business Identification Sign | Determined | not on record | $6k | 2025-10-29 |
| ~80 m · 18-20 Darlinghurst Road Potts Point 2011 | Demolition, Residential Flat Building, Signage · 113 new dwellings | Operational consent issued | Approved, with conditions | $65.44M | 2020-09-11 |
| ~90 m · 16-20 Roslyn Street Elizabeth Bay 2011 | Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Medical Centre, Health Services Facility | Determined | not on record | $817k | 2025-12-08 |
| ~90 m · 16-20 Roslyn Street Elizabeth Bay 2011 | Residential Care Facility, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure | Determined | not on record | $188k | 2026-02-26 |
| ~90 m · 16-20 Roslyn Street Elizabeth Bay 2011 | Residential Care Facility, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure | Determined | not on record | $102k | 2026-03-17 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Active state-pipeline project within 150m: 4 Elizabeth Bay Road, Elizabeth Bay (140m — SSD-132973492)
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
This property sits within 150m of an active state-pipeline project. Adjacent construction — especially deep excavation — is a documented damage pathway for existing buildings (Mascot Towers). Get an independent structural and strata inspection, and ask the strata manager about the neighbouring works, before you commit.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP14373 registered 1979 — the building is at least 47 years old · 62 lots in the scheme.
Registration is an age floor, not a build date — a converted building is older than its strata plan. Scheme records from the NSW Strata Hub. © State of New South Wales (Spatial Services, a business unit of the Department of Customer Service NSW). For current information go to spatial.nsw.gov.au.
What's changing in Elizabeth Bay — recent local signals
2026-02-26 — Aged care / seniors invest — 16-20 ROSLYN STREET ELIZABETH BAY 2011 ($188k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-616577, OnlineDA))
2025-12-08 — Health invest — 16-20 ROSLYN STREET ELIZABETH BAY 2011 ($817k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-593099, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Darlinghurst PS (primary) · Inner Sydney HS (secondary)
6 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1129 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.