The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: High — based on 343 comparable auction sales (30 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Cary St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $2.23M | Sept 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
aircraft noise high · crime index: 72 — above sydney average · 1 min walk to Marrickville Metro · ~12 min metro to the CBD · trains ~every 2 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Marrickville — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Marrickville · postcode 2204
$975–$1200/wk is what 3-bed houses in 2204 actually transact for (middle half of 24 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $1090/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $720 → $998/wk · +4% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2204, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | Passed in | withheld | Raine & Horne Marrickville | Dulwich Hill |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Marrickville, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Malakoff Street | 12 Mar 2026 | $2,050,000 | 3 | Harris Partners |
| 1/10 Henson Street | 25 May 2025 | $850,000 | 2 | Harris Partners |
| 42 North Street | 6 July 2022 | $2,500,000 | 4 | Harris Partners |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at
Homes in Marrickville that passed in and later sold went for about 11% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.
Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.
Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 114 comparable sales in Marrickville, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.
What's changing in Marrickville — recent local signals
2025-11-07 — Education invest — 194-210 WARDELL ROAD MARRICKVILLE 2204 ($34036k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-588572, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Marrickville WPS (primary) · Marrickville HS (secondary)
11 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1105 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Marrickville — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.