68 Gordon St · Manly Vale NSW 2093

Manly Vale suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Manly Vale suburb ← Back to board

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.65M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.65M–$2.76M
around $2.16M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.76M
$3.19M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 37 comparable auction sales (1 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±26% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 24 — below sydney average · ferries ~every 5 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Development potential — how Northern Beaches Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 2.88% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 2.59% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
4 July 2026Passed inwithheldClarke & Humel Property

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Manly Vale, around 2 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
9/7-9 Quirk Road10 July 2026$1,335,0002Cunninghams
12/12 Fairway Close10 June 2026$1,190,0002Cunninghams
7B/29 Quirk Road22 May 2026$955,0002Cunninghams
35/76 Kenneth Road30 Apr 2026$1,250,0002Cunninghams
9 Parkes Street17 Apr 2026$2,580,0002Cunninghams

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

⏭ It passed in — what happens next — the question the listing stops at

Across Sydney, homes that passed in and later sold went for about 6% less than comparable homes that sold under the hammer.

Half sold within 33 days, 76% within three months.

Like-for-like within bedroom and property-type groups · 64 comparison groups across Sydney, sales settled in the last two years. Based on passed-in homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure, so read this as what a sale fetches — not what the home is worth. Passing in is a negotiating position, not a verdict — this is evidence about outcomes, never advice on what to offer.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.