Currently listed
3 bed · 1 bath · 1 car · ApartmentUnitFlat
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 73 comparable auction sales (2 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±16% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 19 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 28 Aug 2026 on market 9+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2/5 Bellevue St | 3 bd · 1 ba | $1.55M | May 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 15 — below sydney average · 20 min walk to Manly Wharf · ~18 min ferry to the CBD · ferries ~every 5 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Fairlight — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
9 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Fairlight · postcode 2094
$1280–$1875/wk is what 3-bed units in 2094 actually transact for (middle half of 43 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $1500/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $700 → $892/wk · +3% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for units in 2094, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Growth trend — Fairlight units at auction
Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):
2024Q1 $1690k (3) · 2024Q3 $1905k (6) · 2024Q4 $1558k (10) · 2025Q2 $1555k (7)
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Fairlight, around 3 beds
| Address | Sold | Price | Beds | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Griffiths Street | 13 Aug 2026 | $3,205,000 | 3 | Cunninghams |
| 2/14 Austin Street | 20 June 2026 | $1,725,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 5/44 Lauderdale Avenue | 19 June 2026 | $2,350,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 6/31 La Perouse Street | 14 Apr 2026 | $1,330,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
| 7/33 Fairlight Crescent | 28 Feb 2026 | $1,785,000 | 2 | Cunninghams |
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Planning & zoning — R1 General Residential
A mix of housing types — houses through to apartments — permitted.
Zone R1 (General Residential) under the NORTHERN BEACHES LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
The building — its registered strata scheme
Strata plan SP446 registered 1963 — the building is at least 63 years old · 8 lots in the scheme (small scheme — levies and decisions shared among few owners).
Registration is an age floor, not a build date — a converted building is older than its strata plan. Scheme records from the NSW Strata Hub. © State of New South Wales (Spatial Services, a business unit of the Department of Customer Service NSW). For current information go to spatial.nsw.gov.au.
School catchments
Manly WPS (primary) · The Forest HS (secondary)
4 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1131 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
Suburb-centre approximation for Fairlight — addresses near a boundary can differ. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.