









Currently listed — $4,750,000
4 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · Terrace · 142 m² land
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 83 comparable auction sales · model runs ±15% for this configuration · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 15 Aug 2026 our tracking restarted after a six-week portal gap — the campaign start is unknown, this is not a listing date
- 18 Aug 2026 asking $4.75M
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 63 — above sydney average · 18 min walk to Edgecliff · ~6 min train to the CBD · light rail ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Paddington · postcode 2021
$2012–$2575/wk is what 4-bed houses in 2021 actually transact for (middle half of 10 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $2300/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $1150 → $1500/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2021, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Land — for a house, the land is the asset
142 m²
A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.
Development potential — how Woollahra Municipal Council treats the work you might do
Refuses 11.21% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 13.19% (determinations to Nov 2023).
The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 4, asking within 20% of this one, in Paddington or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
Planning & zoning — R3 Medium Density Residential
Townhouses, villas and low-rise units permitted — expect gradual medium-density infill.
Heritage conservation area — Paddington. The property sits in a heritage conservation area — the streetscape is protected, so visible/external changes are controlled. It's area-wide, not this building specifically; it tends to preserve character and value.
Registered lots in Paddington run 70–180 m² (middle 80% of 96 registered parcels). This one is 139 m² — inside that range.
Whether a block this size can be subdivided or redeveloped is a separate question: minimum lot size, setbacks and the council's DCP controls decide it, and this page doesn't check them. One point per registered parcel, so a tower's parent lot counts once — not once per unit. Confirm the parcel and its controls with the council before you inspect.
Zone R3 (Medium Density Residential) under the WOOLLAHRA LEP · heritage from the NSW Heritage Map layer, as recorded against this property in the NSW Valuer General's valuation record — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development outlook — how often Woollahra Municipal Council has refused this kind of work
| If you wanted to… | Refused | vs NSW | Applications decided |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alterations & additions | 10.53% (8.47–13.01%) | 4× (NSW 2.63%) | 74 refused of 703 |
| Off-street parking | 13.19% (7.71–21.65%) | 5.1× (NSW 2.58%) | 12 refused of 91 |
| Pool, deck or fence | 8.38% (5.22–13.17%) | 4.8× (NSW 1.73%) | 16 refused of 191 |
| Granny flat | too few to rate | — (NSW 4.45%) | 2 refused of 10 |
| Knock down & rebuild | 16.67% (10.53–25.37%) | 1.4× (NSW 11.55%) | 16 refused of 96 |
Across all application types Woollahra Municipal Council refused 11.21% (9.5–13.19%) of the 1,124 development applications it decided.
Where these applications come unstuck
The refusal rate above says how strict the council is. This says which part of a plan is exposed — measured across all 192,284 NSW development applications, not just this council. Each is an association: plenty of applications carrying these elements are approved, and nothing here is a verdict on a proposal you haven't made yet.
- Alterations & additions — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 7.27% vs 2.59% for this kind of work generally — 2.8×, on 220 applications); excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.71% vs 2.54% for this kind of work generally — 2.64×, on 611 applications)
- Off-street parking — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 8.45% vs 2.42% for this kind of work generally — 3.49×, on 284 applications)
- Pool, deck or fence — excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.22% vs 1.61% for this kind of work generally — 3.88×, on 659 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 4.97% vs 1.6% for this kind of work generally — 3.12×, on 965 applications)
- Knock down & rebuild — excavation or a new lower level (refused 25.78% vs 9.36% for this kind of work generally — 2.75×, on 256 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 19.91% vs 10.46% for this kind of work generally — 1.9×, on 221 applications)
Because this address sits in a heritage listing
Heritage does not make everything harder — it depends entirely on what you want to do, and for some work it makes approval more likely. Measured across NSW by category:
- Alterations & additions — heritage listing raises the refusal rate: 4.39% on heritage-affected land vs 2.27% elsewhere
- Off-street parking — heritage listing raises the refusal rate: 7.37% on heritage-affected land vs 2.29% elsewhere
- Pool, deck or fence — heritage listing raises the refusal rate: 4.56% on heritage-affected land vs 1.62% elsewhere
- Granny flat — heritage listing raises the refusal rate: 9.63% on heritage-affected land vs 4.4% elsewhere
- Knock down & rebuild — heritage listing lowers the refusal rate: 7.1% on heritage-affected land vs 12.68% elsewhere — applications here are typically pre-advised and conservative
These are NSW-wide rates for heritage-affected applications, not Woollahra Municipal Council-specific, and they describe applications rather than this property. The zoning section above records the actual listing at this address.
Determinations lodged on the NSW Planning Portal up to Nov 2023 — the published dataset stops there, so this is a record of how the council has behaved, not a forecast and not a statement about any particular application. Rates cover development applications only; modifications and reviews of an earlier decision are excluded. A rate is shown only where at least 30 applications were decided — below that the counts are given instead, because a percentage from a handful of decisions is not a fact about a council. "Approved with conditions" is a consent, not a refusal, and is never counted as one.
Development applications — at & near this address
| Where | Proposal | Status | Outcome | Est. cost | Lodged |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ~57 m · 33 Hopetoun Street Paddington 2021 | Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Residential Accommodation · 1 new dwelling | Under Assessment | not on record | $710k | 2026-07-22 |
| ~70 m · 12 Norfolk Street Paddington 2021 | Dwelling House, Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Residential Accommodation · 1 new dwelling | Determined | not on record | $534k | 2025-07-29 |
| ~75 m · 15 Hopetoun Street Paddington 2021 | Garages, Carports And Car Parking Spaces · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $25k | 2020-10-30 |
| ~83 m · 9 Hopetoun Street Paddington 2021 | Alterations Or Additions To An Existing Building Or Structure, Multi-Dwelling Housing (Terraces) · 1 new dwelling | Determined | not on record | $380k | 2025-09-24 |
| ~83 m · 11 Windsor Street Paddington 2021 | Alterations And Additions To Residential Development · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $550k | 2021-03-30 |
| ~86 m · 68 Cascade Street Paddington 2021 | Alterations And Additions To Residential Development · 1 new dwelling | Determined | Approved | $20k | 2020-11-18 |
Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0. Matched at this exact address or within ~150 m of its geocoded point — proximity evidence, not a parcel-level check. Lodged means proposed, not approved or built. Outcome comes from a separate NSW dataset that stops in Nov 2023: applications determined after that, or still undetermined, read “not on record” — which means we don't know, never that it was refused. “Status” is the council's own workflow state and “Determined” on its own does not say which way it went. Verify any application on the NSW Planning Portal.
What's changing in Paddington — recent local signals
2025-12-23 — Education invest — 248-250 OXFORD STREET PADDINGTON 2021 ($4161k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-602576, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Glenmore Rd PS (primary) · Inner Sydney HS (secondary)
9 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1133 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.