77 Cascade Street · Paddington NSW 2021

Paddington suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

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Currently listed — $4,750,000

4 bed · 2 bath · 1 car · Terrace · 142 m² land

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$4.34M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$4.34M–$5.86M
around $5.11M mid
STRETCH CAP
$5.86M
$6.83M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 83 comparable auction sales · model runs ±15% for this configuration · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 15 Aug 2026 our tracking restarted after a six-week portal gap — the campaign start is unknown, this is not a listing date
  • 18 Aug 2026 asking $4.75M

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 63 — above sydney average · 18 min walk to Edgecliff · ~6 min train to the CBD · light rail ~every 4 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Paddington · postcode 2021

$2012–$2575/wk is what 4-bed houses in 2021 actually transact for (middle half of 10 bonds lodged, Q2 2026 · median $2300/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).


2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $1150 → $1500/wk · +6% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2021, all bedroom counts pooled.

Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

142 m²

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Development potential — how Woollahra Municipal Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 11.21% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 13.19% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 4, asking within 20% of this one, in Paddington or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.