803/3 Sylvan Av · Balgowlah NSW 2093

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The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.68M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.68M–$2.32M
around $1.99M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.32M
$2.78M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 54 comparable auction sales (1 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±16% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
503/4 Sylvan Av3 bd · 2 ba$4.35MSept 2025
1/86-88 Condamine St3 bd · 2 ba$2.28MJune 2025

Suburb risk flags

crime index: 24 — below sydney average · ferries ~every 5 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Balgowlah — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

Local rents — postcode 2093 units, new tenancies

$875/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2093 (2026Q2, 106 bonds lodged).

The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 3-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Balgowlah units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2023Q3 $1390k (5) · 2024Q4 $1374k (10) · 2025Q1 $1380k (4) · 2025Q2 $2120k (3)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
4 July 2026Sold priorwithheldWhitehouse Real Estate

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Balgowlah, around 3 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
19 Hill Street17 Aug 2026$2,830,0003Cunninghams
102 Condamine Street30 July 2026$4,000,0004Cunninghams
1/20 Kitchener Street14 July 2026$2,370,0003Cunninghams
12/10 Bentley Street7 July 2026$1,360,0002Cunninghams
2/22 Waratah Street28 Apr 2026$2,120,0002Cunninghams

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
26 June 2026 $3,800,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

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Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.