The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 33 comparable auction sales (18 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 110/80 Ormond St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $380k | June 2025 |
| 3/67 Bayswater Rd | 2 bd · 1 ba | $644k | Sept 2024 |
| 202/72 Altona St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $580k | Oct 2023 |
| 202/72 Altona St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $580k | Oct 2023 |
| 7/12 Mawbey St | 2 bd · 1 ba | $505k | Sept 2023 |
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Kensington — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
Growth trend — Kensington units at auction
Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):
2022Q4 $435k (4) · 2023Q1 $550k (3) · 2023Q2 $502k (3) · 2023Q4 $580k (3)
Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.
Published auction results at this address
| Auction week | Result | Price | Agency |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | Sold | $572,000 | Nelson Alexander Flemington |
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Construction risk — what no listing tells you
Building Commission NSW / Strata Community Association 2023 Strata Defects Survey: 53% of newly registered strata buildings reported at least one serious defect in common property (39% in the 2021 survey). Defects are common, not exceptional — and new does not mean safe (Opal Tower was under a year old).
Get an independent structural and strata inspection before you commit — the defect base rate makes it the single highest-value dollar in the purchase.
We cannot see inside a building — no one can from public records. This section states base rates and observable adjacency only, and will never call a building safe.
What's changing in Kensington — recent local signals
2026-08-08 — South Coogee to Kingsford walking & cycling corridor (stage-zero.json (date = register entry, not decision — check stageNote for the real dates))
2026-06-11 — Place of worship departure — 1 ROMA AVENUE KENSINGTON 2033 ($91k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-646359, OnlineDA))
2025-07-01 — Childcare departure — 31 TODMAN AVENUE KENSINGTON 2033 ($1137k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-548829, OnlineDA))
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.