Currently listed — $2,650,000
5 bed · 3 bath · 4 car · House · 403 m² land
The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.
Confidence: Low — based on 106 comparable auction sales (0 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±27% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · adjusted for this block's land size · thin comparable support for this configuration — read the range as wider, not as a warning · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
What we've tracked
- 20 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
- 25 Aug 2026 asking $2.65M
- 28 Aug 2026 on market 8+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound
Comparable auction sales
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 134 King St | 5 bd · 2 ba | $2.05M | Sept 2025 |
Suburb risk flags
flood exposure 49% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise high · crime index: 59 — around sydney average · 9 min walk to Mascot · ~10 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 8 min at peak
Where every number comes from
- Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
- Comps: published Domain auction results for Mascot — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
- Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
- Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
⏱ Days on market — this campaign
8 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.
The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Mascot · postcode 2020
$1120/wk median live asking rent in Mascot (5 live rental listings, all sizes pooled — agency websites, this week's sweep).
$1200/week median new-tenancy rent for houses in 2020 (2026Q2, 40 bonds lodged — all bedroom counts pooled).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $750 → $1200/wk · +11% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for houses in 2020, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Land — for a house, the land is the asset
403 m²
A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.
Similar properties — on the market now
The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 5, asking within 20% of this one, in Mascot or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.
What's changing in Mascot — recent local signals
2026-08-24 — Place of worship invest — 38 RICKETTY STREET MASCOT 2020 ($330k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-665566, OnlineDA))
2026-08-18 — Place of worship invest — 768 BOTANY ROAD MASCOT 2020 ($578k) (institutional-signals.json (PAN-663802, OnlineDA))
2026-07-03 — DA-approved site — listing's own words: "DA-approved" (51 Hardie Street, Mascot, NSW 2020) (listing rea-151093680 (rea), first seen 2026-07-03)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.