Maroubra · Sydney NSW

Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction

Modelled from 146,492 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.

Buildings in Maroubra — full dossiers: every sale, turnover, orders, what units rent for

The 20 most-transacted of 123 Maroubra buildings with dossiers — the rest are reachable from these pages and the sitemap. Sales counts and resale records from NSW Valuer General bulk data (CC-BY); lot counts from the NSW Strata Hub register. Each dossier also states what public records cannot tell you.

Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates

Units

Houses

Recent sold auction results in Maroubra from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.

What Maroubra actually sold for — published auction results, quarter by quarter

Quarterly medians of real published auction results (sold outcomes only). Historical results — not a prediction, valuation or financial advice.

All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions

Last 12 months: 458 settled sales · median $1,650,000 (middle half $1,050,000–$2,845,000)

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

What Maroubra homes rent for — real bonds lodged, postcode 2035

2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $622 → $900/wk median new-tenancy rent in 2035, all dwellings pooled · +3% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four).

Every figure is from NSW Fair Trading rental bond lodgements (CC BY) — rents tenants actually signed at, not advertised asks. Postcode is the finest geography the source publishes, and a postcode may span more than one suburb. Middle half = 25th–75th percentile. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)

Index 52 — around the Sydney average (50 = average) · band average

BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2035) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).

⚠️ Yield vs growth — who pays here, and does it convert?

Below metro on both sides. Gross yield 3.9% (bond-median rent $895/wk against a measured unit sale median of $1192k) · measured growth -1%/yr — against metro medians of 4.1% and 1.7%/yr across 39 tracked suburbs.

Yield and measured growth both under the metro median in this window. Not a verdict on the future — but the recent numbers earn no story either way.

Rent trajectory (new-tenancy bond medians, postcode 2035): +4.3%/yr over the last 3 years · +4.9%/yr since 2019 — a level is not a trend; both are shown so neither is implied.

Working: rent = NSW rental bond lodgements, flats, postcode level; growth = like-for-like 2-bed OLS (91 sales) over 17 quarters. Relative labels — "high" means above the metro median in this window, nothing more. Drivers are places and distances, never who lives here.

Delivered & approved supply — what got built around here, honestly windowed

301 dwellings approved in Maroubra between 2019-08-30 and 2023-04-29 (986 applications).

Census check: occupied dwellings grew from 11,357 (2016) to 13,056 (2021) — +1,699 delivered in that window, +388 of them apartments — measured completion, independent of any approval record.

Council portal records begin August 2019 — approvals before that date are invisible to the automated count and appear here only where curated from public record (and say so). Approved also precedes completed by 1–3 years. State-assessed projects live in the fast-track section, not these counts.

State-fiat planning programs — controls moved by state decision (RULE-002)

Low and Mid-Rise Housing reform — Maroubra Junction town centre · controls from 2025-02-28 · source

A state-fiat listing changes what can be BUILT here — planning controls, height, density — by government decision, with no demand-demonstration step. It is a zoning signal, not a price signal: our own backtests found listed and unlisted suburbs moving together, so we don't claim price uplift from a listing. What it reliably means: development capacity changed on the date shown, checkable at the source.

Institutional moves — arrivals & departures, 12-month DA window

When an organisation with real money commits to a location — or abandons one — they've done homework you can't see. The market moves around that decision; the building is the visible end of it.

arrival Aged care / seniors — 481 Malabar Road Maroubra 2035 · $186.6M works
Signage · Seniors housing · Independent living units · Residential care facility · Erection of a new structure · Building identification sign · Business identification sign · Determined · determined 2026-04-08 · PAN-585507

arrival Education — 29 Snape Street Maroubra 2035 · $420k works · 4 applications
Educational establishment · Erection of a new structure · School · Determined · determined 2025-12-15 · PAN-595449

investing in place Health — 1 311-313 Malabar Road Maroubra 2035 · $541k works
Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure · Veterinary hospital · Determined · determined 2025-09-30 · PAN-571781

A DA is intent, not an opening — and a demolition DA is not always a closure (rebuilds happen). Classification is over the Planning Portal's own structured development types; every record above is checkable by its PAN number. Departures are deliberately listed first: almost nobody watches them. Supermarket-class moves live in the anchor-tenant section, not here. Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0.

State-assessed housing nearby — the fast-track pipeline within 2.5km, refused declarations included

68-80 Banks Avenue, Pagewood · 1.3km away
Under assessment · SSD-83256472

68-80 Beauchamp Road, Hillsdale · 1.5km away
Under assessment · SSD-83256478

138 dwellings · 17 - 23 Harbourne Road, Kingsford · 2.3km away · ABC Planning Pty Ltd
Declared State Significant — on the fast-track · HDA record, 2026-06-23

110 dwellings · 80 - 88 Barker Street, Kingsford · 2.5km away · ABC Planning Pty Ltd
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2026-06-23

Known pipeline within 2.5km: 248 dwellings across 4 projects — future supply IF approved and built. More homes coming can mean growth in services and momentum, but also more stock competing with a resale.

These proposals go straight to NSW state assessment (Housing Delivery Authority pathway) and never appear in council DA counts. Dwelling numbers are the applicant's EOI figures — assessment can trim them. Distance is suburb-centre to project, ±500m.

Schools — density, catchment and community profile

5 primary schools within 2km · nearest school ~0.79km · ICSEA 1051

Catchment (suburb-centre approximation): Maroubra Bay PS · Sth Sydney HS — a boundary address can differ; verify yours at NSW School Finder.

ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (My School, national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score. NSW DoE school locations + intake zones, CC BY 4.0.

Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance

Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-08-22 — 53.8% of 372 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-08-22 — 43% of 524 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.

Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted

Recent auction addresses in Maroubra

Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.

12 Johnston Pde · 11/89 Broome St · 18 Wilson St · 9/873 Anzac Pde · 285a Malabar Rd · 43a Moverly Rd · 2A Bond St · 689 Malabar Rd · 6/643 Anzac Pde · 53/818 Anzac Pde · 10 Curtin Cr · 64/15 Green St · 605/1 Bruce Bennett's Pl · 6/59-65 Chester Av · 40a Parer St · 1/51 New Orleans Cr · 7/1-3 New Orleans Cr · 3/4 Second Av · 6/25-29 Bond St · 1/18 New Orleans Cr · 2/52 Chester Av · 14 Camira St · 10 Mason St · 31 Royal St · 405/140 Maroubra Rd · 18/818 Anzac Pde · 6/60 Maroubra Rd · 2/410 Maroubra Rd · 4 Bona Vista Av

Development pipeline — what's proposed in Maroubra, and how far along it is

State-pipeline proposals (pre-DA — the biggest projects start here)

• 772 - 784a Anzac Parade, Maroubra — 12 - storey residential flat building, 130 dwellings with 15% affordable housing for 15 years.
  ABC Planning Pty Ltd · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 86,88-90 Maroubra Road, 94 Maroubra Rd and 46 Hannan St, Maroubra — 140 apartments including 15% affordable housing, 10 storeys.
  ABC Planning · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)

Major applications in the DA channel

Plus 147 smaller applications (renovations, single dwellings, signage) — 105 determined, 4 cancelled, 10 approved, 14 lodged, 9 withdrawn, 4 rejected, 1 refused.

What this view cannot see

• Council DAs from the NSW Planning Portal open feed, matched within ~150 m of addresses we track — a proximity net, not a complete register.
• Verdicts (approved/refused) come from a dataset frozen in Nov 2023: anything determined after that shows “determined” without a published outcome. Check the application on the NSW Planning Portal for the current decision.
• The largest master-planned sites can proceed as State Significant Development or planning proposals and never appear as council DAs. State-pipeline EOIs shown here are proposals, not applications, and can change or lapse.
• No feed we hold ties a construction certificate to a specific application, so no project row here can honestly read “under construction” — “approved” never means “built”. Suburb-level construction-certificate volume appears in the DA-volume section.

Housing and jobs targets — RANDWICK LGA

Under the NSW Government's 20-year Sydney plan, RANDWICK has a five-year housing target of 4,000 new homes (2024–2029) and a jobs target of 8,800–13,600 additional jobs by 2046.

The housing target is the supply pipeline for the area: the number of new homes the state expects the council to plan capacity for, concentrated around the centres and station areas the Plan nominates. The jobs figure is published as an aspirational range and is not legislated the way housing targets are.

Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix D — Housing and Employment Guidance (published 13 August 2026), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026

State rezoning pipeline — Randwick LGA

The Sydney Plan lists one state significant rezoning site in this LGA — land the NSW Government is rezoning (or has rezoned) for additional homes and jobs, alongside council-led supply. Dwelling and jobs figures are preliminary estimates provided by proponents or councils.

• Bunnerong Road, Kingsford (Homes NSW) — ~185 dwellings · rezoning completed June 2025

These are LGA-level sites, not a statement about any individual property; the Plan does not publish site boundaries or coordinates in this appendix. Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix F — State-led or assessed rezonings (published 13 August 2026, updated every 6 months), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026