516 Illawarra Rd · Marrickville NSW 2204

Marrickville suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs

Marrickville suburb ← Back to board
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Currently listed — $1,700,000

2 bed · 1 bath · House · 411 m² land

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$1.58M
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$1.58M–$2.01M
around $1.79M mid
STRETCH CAP
$2.01M
$2.15M on the wider 80% band

Confidence: High — based on 343 comparable auction sales (62 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±12% for this configuration · adjusted for this block's land size · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 15 July 2026 listed by the agency (portal date)
  • 8 Aug 2026 auction: Postponed (Raine & Horne Marrickville | Dulwich Hill)
  • 22 Aug 2026 auction: Withdrawn (Raine & Horne Marrickville | Dulwich Hill)
  • 26 Aug 2026 asking $1.7M
  • 27 Aug 2026 on market 43 days — portal listing date

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
12 Hilltop Av2 bd · 1 ba$1.78MSept 2025
57 Silver St2 bd · 1 ba$2.04MSept 2025
12 Neville St2 bd · 1 ba$1.6MJune 2025
30 Gorman St2 bd · 1 ba$2.02MJune 2025
3 Juliett St2 bd · 1 ba$1.5MJune 2025
140 Juliett St2 bd · 1 ba$2.23MJune 2025

Suburb risk flags

aircraft noise high · crime index: 72 — above sydney average · 1 min walk to Marrickville Metro · ~12 min metro to the CBD · trains ~every 2 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Marrickville — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

43 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Land — for a house, the land is the asset

411 m²

A house's size is its land. An apartment's advertised "size" can include car space and balcony — the two are never comparable and this site never pools them. Lot details and planning controls sit under Explore the area.

Development potential — how Inner West Council treats the work you might do

Refuses 7.24% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 10.98% (determinations to Nov 2023).

The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.

Published auction results at this address

Auction weekResultPriceAgency
22 Aug 2026WithdrawnwithheldRaine & Horne Marrickville | Dulwich Hill
8 Aug 2026PostponedwithheldRaine & Horne Marrickville | Dulwich Hill

From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Marrickville, around 2 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
52 Malakoff Street12 Mar 2026$2,050,0003Harris Partners
1/10 Henson Street25 May 2025$850,0002Harris Partners

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same house category, within 1 bedroom of 2, asking within 20% of this one, in Marrickville or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

↩ Withdrawn from auction — what happens next

Withdrawn from auction isn't the end of a sale — of withdrawn Sydney homes that went on to sell, half sold within 65 days.

63% sold within three months of the scheduled auction.

1,547 withdrawn-then-sold homes across Sydney. We don't publish a price figure for withdrawn homes: the measured gap is too unstable to stand behind, and a number we can't defend is worse than none. Based on withdrawn homes that later sold. Homes that never sold aren't in the figure — withdrawal sometimes means a private deal was already done, and sometimes means the listing simply ended.

Sale history — the official settled-sale record at this address

ExchangedPriceChange since prior sale
16 Oct 1991 $133,500

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Two entries on one date are usually a single transaction recorded across parts. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.