649/63 Church Avenue · Mascot NSW 2020

Mascot suburb intelligence · all Sydney suburbs · building dossier

Mascot suburb ← Back to board
← swipe · 10 photos

Currently listed — $730,000

1 bed · 1 bath · 1 car · ApartmentUnitFlat

View the live listing →

The Property Brief — what the evidence shows. You draw the conclusion.

CONSERVATIVE
$586k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$586k–$727k
around $656k mid
STRETCH CAP
$727k
$798k on the wider 80% band

Confidence: Low — based on 59 comparable auction sales (7 of this exact configuration) · model runs ±11% for this configuration · confidence held at Low — under 20 same-configuration sales · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss

What we've tracked

  • 22 Aug 2026 first tracked by our radar (the portal doesn't publish its list date)
  • 22 Aug 2026 asking $730k
  • 27 Aug 2026 on market 4+ days — first tracked by us, a lower bound

Comparable auction sales

AddressConfigSoldWhen
S204/6 Galloway St1 bd · 1 ba$715kApr 2025
407/19 Robey St1 bd · 1 ba$680kMar 2025
131/1 Galloway St1 bd · 1 ba$600kFeb 2025

Suburb risk flags

flood exposure 49% of the suburb · bushfire exposure 0% · aircraft noise high · crime index: 59 — around sydney average · 9 min walk to Mascot · ~10 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 8 min at peak

Where every number comes from
  • Fair value: AI PropertyEye price model 2026-08-11-v5 — trained on 146,492 published auction sales; configuration-level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
  • Comps: published Domain auction results for Mascot — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
  • Evidence trail: tracked by our radar from portal listings, web-archive checks and published auction results — each entry dated
  • Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment

⏱ Days on market — this campaign

4 days since our daily sweep first saw this listing.

The portal's own campaign may have started slightly earlier than our first sighting. Longer campaigns tend to mean more negotiating room — the board's "Longest listed" sort exists for exactly that reason.

Local rents — postcode 2020 units, new tenancies

$1050/week median new-tenancy unit rent in 2020 (2026Q2, 405 bonds lodged).

The rent is real (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY) but it pools every bedroom count in the postcode and this is a 1-bed — so we don't derive a yield % from it: a ratio of two different grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents also run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Growth trend — Mascot units at auction

Too few same-bed sales for a measured growth rate yet. Recent quarterly sold medians (all unit sizes — thin samples move these):

2024Q3 $839k (4) · 2024Q4 $1170k (5) · 2025Q1 $754k (4) · 2025Q2 $748k (4)

Suburb-level, from published auction results. No single building has enough sales for a block-level series, so this is the honest grain; sales-mix shifts move raw medians, and the measured rate (when shown) controls for bed count.

Agencies' own published sales nearby — Mascot, around 1 beds

AddressSoldPriceBedsAgency
162/3-9 Church Avenueby 17 Aug 2026$735,0001Meriton
515/10 Galloway Streetby 17 Aug 2026$770,0001Meriton
320/8 Galloway Streetby 17 Aug 2026$760,0001Meriton
453/63 Church Avenueby 17 Aug 2026$900,0002Meriton
1001/1 Gearin Alleyby 17 Aug 2026$775,0001Meriton

Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.

Similar properties — on the market now

The 6 listings above are on the market now: same unit category, within 1 bedroom of 1, asking within 20% of this one, in Mascot or a suburb whose centre is within 3 km — ordered by how close the asking price is. That is the whole rule: a filter, not a recommendation, and nothing here judges which home is better.

Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?

Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.

Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.