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Your buyer evidence guide
Understand the home before the offer.
The useful records, what they mean, and the questions they leave open. Start here, then explore the evidence below.
How much price evidence fits
26 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
The wider pool is not a set of identical homes. Bedroom count, condition and location within the suburb affect comparability.
Published auction evidence · model trained through 2026-09-15
Planning activity nearby
6 recorded applications at or near this address
An application is not an approval or a promise that building work will happen. Location and stage matter.
NSW Planning Portal · individual records in Explore the area
What deserves a closer look
No dated campaign events are available here. That does not establish that the asking price or agent has never changed.
What we still cannot tell you
We do not have a current listing in this page's evidence. An address record is not proof that a home is for sale.
No settled-sale history is available in this page's records. This does not mean the home has never sold.
Direct price support is limited. Read the comparable sales and the estimate's uncertainty together.
Public records and an automated estimate cannot establish whether the home is defect-free, what the contract contains, or why the owner is selling.
Questions to take to the inspection
Use these with the agent and your independent advisers. An answer is something to verify, not a fact we have recorded.
Which nearby applications affect this home, and what stage has each actually reached?
Which recent sales are most comparable to this home, and how do their size, condition and position differ?
What repairs, alterations or water issues are documented, and what can an independent inspection verify?
Do the planning and heritage records match this exact lot, and what approvals exist for alterations?
The estimate is a model output. The records are evidence. Your inspection and document checks fill the gaps.
Is the asking price plausible?
This is a comparison with the evidence we hold, not a valuation or a recommended offer.
CONSERVATIVE
$841k
the calibrated floor
LIKELY FAIR RANGE
$841k–$1.04M
around $933k mid
STRETCH CAP
$1.04M
$1.18M on the wider 80% band
Confidence: Low — based on 26 comparable auction sales · model runs ±11% for this configuration · the model's typical miss is ~11% against published results — every hit and miss
How this estimate was made
Method: AI PropertyEye tree model · trained through 2026-09-15
Inputs used for this home: no per-address records were available; this uses location and configuration only
Comparable support: 26 sales in the wider suburb/type pool
When to be more cautious: Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract are not model inputs and can move the eventual sale price.
Comparable auction sales
Address
Config
Sold
When
1/30 Tintern Rd
2 bd · 1 ba
$1.43M
May 2025
7/43-47 Orpington St
2 bd · 2 ba
$1.33M
Mar 2024
6/47 Alt St
2 bd · 1 ba
$835k
Dec 2023
6/1 Markham Pl
2 bd · 3 ba
$1.2M
Dec 2023
9/12-14 Curt St
2 bd · 1 ba
$985k
Oct 2023
9/13 Church St
2 bd · 2 ba
$1M
May 2023
Suburb risk flags
crime index: 47 — around sydney average · 3 min walk to Ashfield · ~13 min train to the CBD · trains ~every 4 min at peak
Where every number comes from
Fair value: AI PropertyEye tree model 2026-09-02-v7-price-model-v6-full-grid, trained through 2026-09-15 — trained on 169,861 published auction sales; priced per address where this home's own records reach the model (see "How this estimate was made"), otherwise at configuration level (suburb × type × beds), not an appraisal of this exact home
Comps: published Domain auction results for Ashfield — suburb × configuration matches, not hyper-matched to this address
Risk flags: suburb-level overlays (BOCSAR crime, flood/bushfire intel, aircraft bands, GTFS transit) — NOT a per-parcel assessment
What to inspect before you offer
Condition, aspect, renovation and the contract — these can materially change price, and the estimate cannot see them.
6 development applications are recorded at or near this address — check the source records and current status.
Planning controls and heritage status — confirm the exact lot, not just the address-level guide, before relying on development potential.
These are due-diligence prompts, not a verdict on this property.
Rent evidence — asking vs transacted, Ashfield · postcode 2131
$650/wk median live asking rent for 2-bed homes in Ashfield (3 live rental listings on agency websites, this week's sweep).
$712–$854/wk is what 2-bed townhouses in 2131 actually transact for (middle half of 14 bonds lodged, last 12 mo · median $775/wk — NSW Fair Trading, CC BY).
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $600 → $860/wk · +10% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four) — quarterly new-tenancy medians for townhouses in 2131, all bedroom counts pooled.
Asking rents are what agents hope for; bond figures are what tenants actually signed at (NSW Fair Trading bond lodgements, CC BY). No yield % is derived here: each rent above is a different grain from this home's price, and a ratio of two grains reads as precision it doesn't have. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Development potential — how Inner West Council treats the work you might do
Refuses 7.24% of the development applications it decides · off-street parking 10.98%(determinations to Nov 2023).
The full outlook — every category with confidence ranges, which plan elements come unstuck, and the heritage effect by category — is under Explore the area.
Published auction results at this address
Auction week
Result
Price
Agency
21 Feb 2026
Sold
$1,570,000
—
From Domain's published weekly auction results — individual outcomes as published; withheld prices stay withheld.
Agencies' own published sales nearby — Ashfield, around 2 beds
Address
Sold
Price
Beds
Agency
703/168 Liverpool Road
by 12 Sept 2026
$530,000
1
Laing+Simmons
4/23 Palace Street
17 June 2026
$738,313
1
Harris Partners
12/46 Alt Street
14 Oct 2025
$1,030,000
2
Harris Partners
Prices as published on the selling agency's own website (their sold pages) — includes private-treaty sales the auction results never see. Only sales the agency chose to publish a figure for appear here.
Planning & zoning — E2 Commercial Centre
A major retail/office core — the busiest, most built-up kind of location.
Height limit 23m (≈ 7 storeys) — the current legal ceiling for new building at this point under the LEP. Any proposal above it needs a variation or a rezoning — the kind of change the fast-track pipeline tracks.
Floor space ratio 3:1 — the maximum gross floor area you can build is 3:1 times the site area.
Strata plan SP98956 · scheme parcel ~3,220 m²— A strata-titled scheme — the parcel area is the WHOLE scheme's land, not this unit's. From the NSW cadastre at this address's geocoded point.
Zone E2 (Commercial Centre) under the INNER WEST LEP, from the NSW ePlanning layers at this address's geocoded point — a guide, not a parcel-level legal check. Confirm the exact lot at the NSW Planning Portal.
Development outlook — how often Inner West Council has refused this kind of work
If you wanted to…
Refused
vs NSW
Applications decided
Alterations & additions
4.67%(3.73–5.83%)
1.8× (NSW 2.63%)
73 refused of 1,564 · 65 approved with conditions
Off-street parking
10.98%(7.14–16.52%)
4.3× (NSW 2.58%)
19 refused of 173 · 12 approved with conditions
Pool, deck or fence
3.95%(2.37–6.53%)
2.3× (NSW 1.73%)
14 refused of 354 · 12 approved with conditions
Granny flat
12.68%(6.81–22.37%)
2.8× (NSW 4.45%)
9 refused of 71 · 2 approved with conditions
Knock down & rebuild
17.24%(12.67–23.03%)
1.5× (NSW 11.55%)
35 refused of 203 · 11 approved with conditions
Across all application types Inner West Council refused 7.24% (6.3–8.31%) of the 2,555 development applications it decided.
Where these applications come unstuck
The refusal rate above says how strict the council is. This says which part of a plan is exposed — measured across all 192,284 NSW development applications, not just this council. Each is an association: plenty of applications carrying these elements are approved, and nothing here is a verdict on a proposal you haven't made yet.
Alterations & additions — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 7.27% vs 2.59% for this kind of work generally — 2.8×, on 220 applications); excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.71% vs 2.54% for this kind of work generally — 2.64×, on 611 applications)
Off-street parking — a new vehicle crossing cut into the front boundary (refused 8.45% vs 2.42% for this kind of work generally — 3.49×, on 284 applications)
Pool, deck or fence — excavation or a new lower level (refused 6.22% vs 1.61% for this kind of work generally — 3.88×, on 659 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 4.97% vs 1.6% for this kind of work generally — 3.12×, on 965 applications)
Knock down & rebuild — excavation or a new lower level (refused 25.78% vs 9.36% for this kind of work generally — 2.75×, on 256 applications); full demolition and rebuild (refused 19.91% vs 10.46% for this kind of work generally — 1.9×, on 221 applications)
Determinations lodged on the NSW Planning Portal up to Nov 2023 — the published dataset stops there, so this is a record of how the council has behaved, not a forecast and not a statement about any particular application. Rates cover development applications only; modifications and reviews of an earlier decision are excluded. A rate is shown only where at least 30 applications were decided — below that the counts are given instead, because a percentage from a handful of decisions is not a fact about a council. "Approved with conditions" is a consent, not a refusal, and is never counted as one.
Development applications — at & near this address
Where
Proposal
Status
Outcome
Est. cost
Lodged
~34 m · 317-335 Liverpool Road Ashfield
Mixed Use Development · 30 new dwellings
Determined
Approved
$10.88M
2020-11-25
~46 m · 347 Liverpool Road Ashfield 2131
Alterations And Additions To Commercial Development
Determined
Approved
$120k
2021-06-24
~50 m · 349 Liverpool Road Ashfield
Business Premises, Change Of Use
Determined
Approved
$10k
2021-02-15
~85 m · 301 Liverpool Road Ashfield 2131
Boarding House, Restaurant Or Cafe, Business Premises · 68 new dwellings
Operational consent issued
Refused
$5.94M
2021-08-26
~134 m · 287 Liverpool Road, Ashfield, Nsw
Demolition, Boarding House, Mixed Use Development · 77 new dwellings
Determined
Refused
$9.99M
2021-07-23
~141 m · 2-6 Cavill Avenue, Ashfield
Residential Flat Building, Mixed Use Development · 264 new dwellings
What's changing in Ashfield — recent local signals
2026-10-08 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (17 Rose Street, Ashfield, NSW 2131) (listing rea-152272392 (rea), first seen 2026-10-08)
2026-10-06 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (6 Eccles Avenue, Ashfield, NSW 2131) (listing rea-152546008 (rea), first seen 2026-10-06)
2026-09-27 — Development site — listing's own words: "STCA" (12 Clissold Street, Ashfield, NSW 2131) (listing rea-152323812 (rea), first seen 2026-09-27)
Dated public signals compiled for this suburb — openings, closures, site sales and institutional moves. Facts with sources, not forecasts.
School catchments
Ashfield PS (primary) · Ashfield BHS (secondary)
7 primary schools within 2 km · ICSEA ~1094 — the socio-educational advantage of the school community (My School, national average ~1000): a demographic measure, never a results or quality score.
NSW DoE intake zones at this address's geocoded point — tighter than a suburb-level guess, but geocodes carry a few metres of error and boundaries change with reviews. Verify the exact address at School Finder. Intake zones cover government schools only.
Green space nearby
Protected public recreation land within 250 m
Land zoned RE1 under the local environmental plan — reserved for public recreation, which protects it from being built over. The zoning doesn't say what's on it or how usable it is, and this layer doesn't carry park names.
Privately-zoned recreation land (RE2 — typically golf courses or club grounds) within 2000 m. Private land: green outlook, not public open space.
Straight-line distance, not walking distance. NSW ePlanning planning layers (Land Zoning), CC BY. Distances are ladder buckets measured at the address's geocoded point.
Want the numbers agents don't volunteer?
Check any Sydney suburb free — Market Mint market-conditions readout, live median, clearance trend and the price model — at aipropertyeye.com. No sign-up for the suburb check; the full board is 7 days free.
Data from published auction results (Domain) and live portal listings. Estimates are never valuations or financial advice. Own this home and want a result corrected? hello@aipropertyeye.com.