PropertyEye tracks live listings in Sydney and Brisbane today — open the live board. These pages are built from published auction results (2021–2026), our price model and weekly clearance data.
Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction
| Configuration | Model estimate | Range | Comparable sales |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-bed unit | $497k | $432k–$575k | 18 |
| 2-bed unit | $675k | $609k–$756k | 18 |
| 3-bed unit | $1.05M | $924k–$1.21M | 18 |
| 3-bed house | $1.13M | $996k–$1.31M | 27 |
| 4-bed house | $1.29M | $1.14M–$1.49M | 27 |
| 5-bed house | $1.38M | $1.21M–$1.59M | 27 |
Modelled from 172,805 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.
Buildings in Shoal Bay — full dossiers: every sale, turnover, orders, what units rent for
| Building | Recorded sales | Last 3 yrs | Lots | Resale record |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43 Shoal Bay Rd | 105 since 2015 | 15 | 164 | 100% of 14 resales above purchase · median hold 4.1y |
| 4 Bullecourt St · spans 2 addresses | 77 since 2014 | 11 | — | 96% of 24 resales above purchase · median hold 5.9y |
| 2 Messines St | 32 since 2014 | 2 | 40 | 91% of 11 resales above purchase · median hold 4.2y |
| 19 Shoal Bay Rd | 20 since 2014 | 4 | 29 | 67% of 9 resales above purchase · median hold 3.8y |
| 39 Shoal Bay Rd | 16 since 2016 | 4 | 28 | |
| 51 Shoal Bay Rd | 15 since 2015 | 3 | 34 | |
| 51 Ronald Ave | 12 since 2016 | 1 | 16 | 100% of 3 resales above purchase · median hold 4.5y |
| 6 Tomaree Rd | 12 since 2016 | 4 | — | 100% of 3 resales above purchase · median hold 4.2y |
| 59 Shoal Bay Rd | 12 since 2016 | 0 | 17 | |
| 47 Ronald Ave | 11 since 2016 | 5 | 7 | 100% of 6 resales above purchase · median hold 4.7y |
| 87 Shoal Bay Rd | 10 since 2016 | 0 | 6 | 80% of 5 resales above purchase · median hold 3.5y |
| 25 Shoal Bay Rd | 8 since 2014 | 2 | 18 | |
| 88 Tomaree Rd | 8 since 2012 | 3 | 7 | 100% of 3 resales above purchase · median hold 7.9y |
| 2 Lillian St | 7 since 2014 | 0 | 7 | |
| 16 Messines St | 7 since 2015 | 0 | 10 | |
| 8 Shoal Bay Ave | 7 since 2017 | 2 | 10 | |
| 63 Shoal Bay Rd | 7 since 2015 | 3 | 13 | |
| 13 Shoal Bay Rd | 7 since 2016 | 2 | 9 | |
| 61 Ronald Ave | 6 since 2019 | 2 | 6 | |
| 83 Ronald Ave | 6 since 2014 | 1 | 12 |
The 20 most-transacted of 26 Shoal Bay buildings with dossiers — the rest are reachable from these pages and the sitemap. Sales counts and resale records from NSW Valuer General bulk data (CC-BY); lot counts from the NSW Strata Hub register. Each dossier also states what public records cannot tell you.
Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates
Houses
| Address | Config | Sold | When |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Ocean Beach Rd | 4 bd · 3 ba | $1,230,000 | Jun 2025 |
| 37 Government Rd | 3 bd · 3 ba | $1,250,000 | Dec 2024 |
| 37 Government Rd | 3 bd · 3 ba | $1,250,000 | Nov 2024 |
| 72 Tomaree Rd | 3 bd · 2 ba | $1,260,000 | Oct 2024 |
| 1 Victor Pde | 4 bd · 3 ba | $1,530,000 | Oct 2024 |
| 37 Ocean Beach Rd | 3 bd · 2 ba | $875,000 | Jul 2024 |
Recent sold auction results in Shoal Bay from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.
All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions
Last 12 months: 67 settled sales · median $950,000 (middle half $750,000–$1,240,000)
| Year | Settled sales | Median | Middle half |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 109 | $756,000 | $550,000–$1,050,000 |
| 2022 | 75 | $840,000 | $549,000–$1,216,500 |
| 2023 | 56 | $875,000 | $650,000–$1,152,500 |
| 2024 | 49 | $1,035,000 | $725,000–$1,260,000 |
| 2025 | 64 | $932,500 | $760,000–$1,240,000 |
| 2026 | 48 | $992,500 | $773,750–$1,255,000 |
Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).
What Shoal Bay homes rent for — real bonds lodged, postcode 2315
| Configuration | Middle half | Median | Bonds | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-bed unit | $390–$438/wk | $420/wk | 11 | Q2 2026 |
| 2-bed unit | $522–$592/wk | $565/wk | 28 | Q2 2026 |
| 3-bed unit | $625–$700/wk | $660/wk | 23 | last 12 mo |
| 2-bed house | $520–$600/wk | $570/wk | 29 | last 12 mo |
| 3-bed house | $630–$742/wk | $675/wk | 36 | Q2 2026 |
| 4-bed house | $790–$925/wk | $850/wk | 19 | Q2 2026 |
| 5-bed house | $818–$991/wk | $928/wk | 12 | last 12 mo |
| 2-bed townhouse | $555–$598/wk | $580/wk | 15 | last 12 mo |
| 3-bed townhouse | $650–$698/wk | $675/wk | 18 | Q2 2026 |
| 4-bed townhouse | $750–$868/wk | $802/wk | 12 | last 12 mo |
2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $405 → $650/wk median new-tenancy rent in 2315, all dwellings pooled · +11% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four).
Every figure is from NSW Fair Trading rental bond lodgements (CC BY) — rents tenants actually signed at, not advertised asks. Postcode is the finest geography the source publishes, and a postcode may span more than one suburb. Middle half = 25th–75th percentile. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.
Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)
Index 48 — around the Sydney average (50 = average) · band average
BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2315) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).
Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance
Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-10-24 — 44.7% of 499 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-10-24 — 34% of 716 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.
Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted
| Suburb | Clearance | Withdrawn | Auctions |
|---|---|---|---|
| St Ives | 20% | 19% | 84 |
| Randwick | 49% | 16% | 80 |
| Mosman | 33% | 29% | 73 |
| Wahroonga | 28% | 22% | 67 |
| Turramurra | 26% | 26% | 66 |
| Maroubra | 43% | 28% | 65 |
| Lane Cove | 58% | 16% | 64 |
| Coogee | 40% | 18% | 60 |
| Paddington | 52% | 15% | 54 |
| Marrickville | 52% | 21% | 52 |
Recent auction addresses in Shoal Bay
Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.
84 Government Rd · 2/18 Messines St · 4 Joleen Cr · 94 Rigney St · 510/6 Bullecourt St
All figures derive from published auction results and public data — estimates only, not financial advice.