Nelson Bay · Sydney NSW

Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction

Modelled from 172,805 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.

Buildings in Nelson Bay — full dossiers: every sale, turnover, orders, what units rent for

The 20 most-transacted of 90 Nelson Bay buildings with dossiers — the rest are reachable from these pages and the sitemap. Sales counts and resale records from NSW Valuer General bulk data (CC-BY); lot counts from the NSW Strata Hub register. Each dossier also states what public records cannot tell you.

Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates

Units

Houses

Recent sold auction results in Nelson Bay from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.

What Nelson Bay actually sold for — published auction results, quarter by quarter

Quarterly medians of real published auction results (sold outcomes only). Historical results — not a prediction, valuation or financial advice.

All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions

Last 12 months: 185 settled sales · median $880,000 (middle half $660,000–$1,100,000)

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

What Nelson Bay homes rent for — real bonds lodged, postcode 2315

2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $405 → $650/wk median new-tenancy rent in 2315, all dwellings pooled · +11% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four).

Every figure is from NSW Fair Trading rental bond lodgements (CC BY) — rents tenants actually signed at, not advertised asks. Postcode is the finest geography the source publishes, and a postcode may span more than one suburb. Middle half = 25th–75th percentile. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)

Index 48 — around the Sydney average (50 = average) · band average

BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2315) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).

Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance

Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-10-31 — 48.3% of 571 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-10-31 — 40% of 796 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.

Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted

Recent auction addresses in Nelson Bay

Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.

14 Wallawa Rd · 12 Tingara Rd · 38 Galoola Dr · 80 Ullora Cl · 7/11 Catalina Cl · 7/3 Yacaaba St · 59 Government Rd · 24 Canomii Cl · 2/37 Canomii Cl · 14/53 Victoria Pde · 45 Wallawa Rd · 38 Wollomi Av · 7/13 Victoria Pde · 103 Wallawa Rd · 9 Dirigeree St · 11/49 Stockton St · 78 Navala Av · 46 Tallean Rd · 7 Hough St

Development pipeline — what's proposed in Nelson Bay, and how far along it is

State-pipeline proposals (pre-DA — the biggest projects start here)

• 42 Donald Street, 5 Church Street, Nelson Bay, 7 Church Street, Nelson Bay — The proposal involves the construction of a mixed-use development comprising: -56 residential flat buildings -1 office premises -strata subdivision.
  Ryan Planning and Development / Daryl Ryan / Fortezza Group · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)

What this view cannot see

• Council DAs from the NSW Planning Portal open feed, matched within ~150 m of addresses we track — a proximity net, not a complete register.
• Verdicts (approved/refused) come from a dataset frozen in Nov 2023: anything determined after that shows “determined” without a published outcome. Check the application on the NSW Planning Portal for the current decision.
• The largest master-planned sites can proceed as State Significant Development or planning proposals and never appear as council DAs. State-pipeline EOIs shown here are proposals, not applications, and can change or lapse.
• No feed we hold ties a construction certificate to a specific application, so no project row here can honestly read “under construction” — “approved” never means “built”. Suburb-level construction-certificate volume appears in the DA-volume section.