Nelson Bay · Sydney NSW

Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction

Modelled from 146,492 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.

Buildings in Nelson Bay — full dossiers: every sale, turnover, orders, what units rent for

The 20 most-transacted of 59 Nelson Bay buildings with dossiers — the rest are reachable from these pages and the sitemap. Sales counts and resale records from NSW Valuer General bulk data (CC-BY); lot counts from the NSW Strata Hub register. Each dossier also states what public records cannot tell you.

Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates

Units

Houses

Recent sold auction results in Nelson Bay from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.

What Nelson Bay actually sold for — published auction results, quarter by quarter

Quarterly medians of real published auction results (sold outcomes only). Historical results — not a prediction, valuation or financial advice.

All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions

Last 12 months: 208 settled sales · median $880,000 (middle half $668,125–$1,192,500)

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

What Nelson Bay homes rent for — real bonds lodged, postcode 2315

2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $405 → $650/wk median new-tenancy rent in 2315, all dwellings pooled · +11% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four).

Every figure is from NSW Fair Trading rental bond lodgements (CC BY) — rents tenants actually signed at, not advertised asks. Postcode is the finest geography the source publishes, and a postcode may span more than one suburb. Middle half = 25th–75th percentile. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)

Index 48 — around the Sydney average (50 = average) · band average

BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2315) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).

Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance

Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-08-22 — 53.8% of 372 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-08-22 — 43% of 524 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.

Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted

Recent auction addresses in Nelson Bay

Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.

78 Navala Av · 23 Navala Av · 2/16 Ondine Cl · 13/49 Stockton St · 61B Government Rd · 61A Government Rd · 9 Dirigeree St · 27 Tingara Rd · 4/11 Dalton St · 7/3 Yacaaba St · 39A Thurlow Av · 33 Bay St · 14/49 Stockton St · 51 Tallean Rd · 105 Stockton St