Waterloo · Sydney NSW

Suburb intelligence from Sydney's published auction results — all Sydney suburbs

21 state-assessed housing projects within 2.5km — ~3,396 dwellings in the pipeline (EOI figures, assessment can trim). Nearest: 923-935 Bourke Street, Waterloo (0.2km, SEARs issued — assessment requirements set). Details below ↓

PropertyEye tracks live listings in Sydney and Brisbane today — open the live board. These pages are built from published auction results (2021–2026), our price model and weekly clearance data.

Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction

ConfigurationModel estimateRangeComparable sales
1-bed unit$874k$781k–$968k141
2-bed unit$1.08M$963k–$1.19M141
3-bed unit$1.91M$1.69M–$2.14M141
3-bed house$2.68M$1.99M–$3.42M21
4-bed house$3.44M$2.41M–$4.62M21
5-bed house$3.68M$2.29M–$5.44M21

Modelled from 146,492 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.

Buildings in Waterloo — full dossiers: every sale, turnover, orders, what units rent for

BuildingRecorded salesLast 3 yrsLotsResale record
10 Lachlan St 314 since 2014 105 58% of 78 resales above purchase · median hold 8.1y
356 George St 215 since 2012 31 97% of 61 resales above purchase · median hold 9.1y
9 Archibald Ave 168 since 2012 18 121 100% of 47 resales above purchase · median hold 8.9y
347 George St 159 since 2014 52 50% of 32 resales above purchase · median hold 8.2y
850 Bourke St 152 since 2012 20 110 100% of 40 resales above purchase · median hold 9.5y
8 Sam Sing St 145 since 2005 9 111 100% of 36 resales above purchase · median hold 8.4y
788 Bourke St 113 since 2014 35 87% of 15 resales above purchase · median hold 5.8y
2 Lachlan St 103 since 2014 37 100% of 13 resales above purchase · median hold 6.6y
20 Archibald Ave 89 since 2020 63 45% of 11 resales above purchase · median hold 2.1y
21 Dunkerley Pl 85 since 2020 21 153 50% of 4 resales above purchase · median hold 1.9y
169 Phillip St 77 since 2014 25 69% of 13 resales above purchase · median hold 4.6y
810 Elizabeth St 72 since 2020 44 162 100% of 4 resales above purchase · median hold 3.6y
17 Danks St 61 since 2013 7 43 95% of 19 resales above purchase · median hold 8.4y
5 Sam Sing St 59 since 2021 39 175
2 Sam Sing St 58 since 2021 39 143 100% of 3 resales above purchase · median hold 3.7y
15 Lachlan St 53 since 2021 40 223
25 Allen St 52 since 2014 23 100% of 3 resales above purchase · median hold 6.6y
2 Powell St 48 since 2014 22 143 100% of 3 resales above purchase · median hold 6.1y
25 Archibald Ave 48 since 2011 19 100% of 11 resales above purchase · median hold 7.1y
8 Archibald Ave 40 since 2014 18 75% of 8 resales above purchase · median hold 7.3y

The 20 most-transacted of 72 Waterloo buildings with dossiers — the rest are reachable from these pages and the sitemap. Sales counts and resale records from NSW Valuer General bulk data (CC-BY); lot counts from the NSW Strata Hub register. Each dossier also states what public records cannot tell you.

Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates

Units

AddressConfigSoldWhen
620/2-4 Lachlan St2 bd · 2 ba$1,020,000Sep 2025
301/18 Danks St2 bd · 2 ba$2,120,000Jun 2025
34/6 Danks St1 bd · 1 ba$890,000Jun 2025
84/7 Broome St2 bd · 2 ba$935,000Jun 2025
308/11A Lachlan St2 bd · 1 ba$780,000Jun 2025
302/18 Amelia St2 bd · 2 ba$1,075,000May 2025

Houses

AddressConfigSoldWhen
25 Wellington St3 bd · 1 ba$2,001,000Jun 2025
205 Pitt St4 bd · 3 ba$1,960,000Feb 2025
7 Lenton Pde2 bd · 3 ba$1,800,000Apr 2024
13 Kensington St2 bd · 1 ba$1,500,000Apr 2024
7 Lenton Pde2 bd · 3 ba$1,800,000Apr 2024
134 Wellington St3 bd · 1 ba$1,295,000Oct 2023

Recent sold auction results in Waterloo from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.

What Waterloo actually sold for — published auction results, quarter by quarter

Units — median sold price by quarter

Q 3 21: $1.33M (5 sales)Q 4 21: $846k (10 sales)Q 1 22: $1.15M (5 sales)Q 2 22: $1M (5 sales)Q 4 22: $746k (4 sales)Q 2 23: $928k (8 sales)Q 3 23: $1M (5 sales)Q 4 23: $1.19M (9 sales)Q 1 24: $1.18M (16 sales)Q 2 24: $1.15M (9 sales)Q 3 24: $1.02M (13 sales)Q 4 24: $1.21M (10 sales)Q 1 25: $1.27M (7 sales)Q 2 25: $890k (9 sales) Q 3 21 Q 2 25 $890k

Latest quarter $890k (9 sales) · measured trend +5%/yr (2-bed like-for-like, 59 sales)

Quarterly medians of real published auction results (sold outcomes only). Historical results — not a prediction, valuation or financial advice.

All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions

Last 12 months: 344 settled sales · median $960,000 (middle half $755,000–$1,141,250)

YearSettled salesMedianMiddle half
2021412$905,000$727,500–$1,175,000
2022337$907,500$745,000–$1,110,000
2023398$896,500$722,000–$1,120,000
2024419$935,000$725,000–$1,150,000
2025464$950,000$763,750–$1,110,400
2026189$928,000$750,000–$1,150,000

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)

Index 97 — well above the Sydney average (50 = average) · band high

BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2017) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).

⭐ Yield vs growth — who pays here, and does it convert?

High yield AND measured growth. Gross yield 6.3% (bond-median rent $1070/wk against a measured unit sale median of $890k) · measured growth +5%/yr — against metro medians of 4.1% and 1.7%/yr across 39 tracked suburbs.

Both sides above the metro median — rare, and worth checking the supply pipeline before believing it lasts.

Observable drivers: Green Square station 0.9km from the suburb centre — one-seat airport/CBD access draws short-stay and student tenants who rent, not buy · UTS 2km away — student demand pours into renting, none of it into buying.

Rent trajectory (new-tenancy bond medians, postcode 2017): +5.8%/yr over the last 3 years · +5.3%/yr since 2019 — a level is not a trend; both are shown so neither is implied.

Working: rent = NSW rental bond lodgements, flats, postcode level; growth = like-for-like 2-bed OLS (59 sales) over 14 quarters. Relative labels — "high" means above the metro median in this window, nothing more. Drivers are places and distances, never who lives here.

Delivered & approved supply — what got built around here, honestly windowed

474 dwellings approved in Waterloo between 2019-08-30 and 2023-04-29 (132 applications). Largest: 152dw 44 O"Dea Avenue Waterloo 2017 (2022) · 93dw 44 O"Dea Avenue Waterloo 2017 (2022).

Census check: occupied dwellings grew from 6,486 (2016) to 9,391 (2021) — +2,905 delivered in that window, +1,510 of them apartments — measured completion, independent of any approval record.

Council portal records begin August 2019 — approvals before that date are invisible to the automated count and appear here only where curated from public record (and say so). Approved also precedes completed by 1–3 years. State-assessed projects live in the fast-track section, not these counts.

Anchor-tenant signals — where the big tenants put capital

Supa Centa Moore Park (trading — 870-dwelling over-station development declared SSD (EOI 310721)): nearby — Woolworths approval 301m away (44 O"Dea Avenue Waterloo 2017).

East Village, Zetland (trading — the shops-below-homes-above typology precedent): nearby — Woolworths approval 297m away (44 O"Dea Avenue Waterloo 2017).

An anchor tenant building new premises near an existing centre is capital commitment — in the Eastlakes case it preceded demolition of the old site by years. At-centre works read the opposite way: investment in place. Detections are keyword matches over public planning records ("nearby" never claims common ownership); curated entries say so.

State-fiat planning programs — controls moved by state decision (RULE-002)

Low and Mid-Rise Housing reform — Waterloo town centre (Danks Street) · controls from 2025-02-28 · source

A state-fiat listing changes what can be BUILT here — planning controls, height, density — by government decision, with no demand-demonstration step. It is a zoning signal, not a price signal: our own backtests found listed and unlisted suburbs moving together, so we don't claim price uplift from a listing. What it reliably means: development capacity changed on the date shown, checkable at the source.

Institutional moves — arrivals & departures, 12-month DA window

When an organisation with real money commits to a location — or abandons one — they've done homework you can't see. The market moves around that decision; the building is the visible end of it.

investing in place Aged care / seniors — 182-186 Young Street Waterloo 2017 · $481k works
Seniors housing · Alterations or additions to an existing building or structure · Determined · determined 2026-06-15 · PAN-619742

A DA is intent, not an opening — and a demolition DA is not always a closure (rebuilds happen). Classification is over the Planning Portal's own structured development types; every record above is checkable by its PAN number. Departures are deliberately listed first: almost nobody watches them. Supermarket-class moves live in the anchor-tenant section, not here. Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0.

State-assessed housing nearby — the fast-track pipeline within 2.5km, refused declarations included

177 dwellings · 188 - 196 Young Street, Waterloo · 0.1km away · Capital Corporation
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2026-06-23

177 dwellings · 188 – 199 Young St, Waterloo · 0.1km away · Capital Corporation Pty Ltd
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2025-10-27

270 dwellings · 923-935 Bourke Street, Waterloo · 0.2km away · Fabcot Pty Ltd
SEARs issued — assessment requirements set · SSD-136939491

123 dwellings · 44 - 48 O’Dea Avenue, Waterloo · 0.4km away · BARINGS AUSTRALIA PROPERTY PTY LTD
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2026-06-23

100 dwellings · 25 Lachlan Street, Waterloo · 0.4km away · Pacific Oasis 25 Lachlan St Waterloo Development Pty Ltd
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2025-10-10

500 dwellings · 339-341 George Street, Waterloo · 0.5km away
Preparing the EIS — design being documented · SSD-126105740

+ 32 more within 2.5km — see the full fast-track list.

Known pipeline within 2.5km: 8,376 dwellings across 38 projects — future supply IF approved and built. More homes coming can mean growth in services and momentum, but also more stock competing with a resale.

These proposals go straight to NSW state assessment (Housing Delivery Authority pathway) and never appear in council DA counts. Dwelling numbers are the applicant's EOI figures — assessment can trim them. Distance is suburb-centre to project, ±500m.

Schools — density, catchment and community profile

6 primary schools within 2km · nearest school ~0.6km · 5 selective within 5km · ICSEA 1105

Catchment (suburb-centre approximation): Alexandria Park CS · Alexandria Park CS — a boundary address can differ; verify yours at NSW School Finder.

ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (My School, national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score. NSW DoE school locations + intake zones, CC BY 4.0.

Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance

drag to zoom · double-click to reset

Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-08-22 — 53.8% of 372 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-08-22 — 43% of 524 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.

Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted

SuburbClearanceWithdrawnAuctions
Lane Cove54%8%87
St Ives34%16%58
Randwick51%14%57
Turramurra40%17%52
Marrickville52%17%46
Castle Hill43%11%44
Mosman48%31%42
Wahroonga20%7%41
Eastwood38%15%40
Epping46%15%39

Recent auction addresses in Waterloo

Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.

81 Kellick St · 20 Wellington St · 48/13 Potter St · 1509/21 Dunkerley Pl · 330/2-4 Powell St · 118/11a Lachlan St · 1001/5 Potter St · 305/17 Danks St · 906/18 O'dea Av · 501/8 Ameilia St · 5208/6 Tung Hop St

Development pipeline — what's proposed in Waterloo, and how far along it is

State-pipeline proposals (pre-DA — the biggest projects start here)

Major applications in the DA channel

AddressScaleStageLodged
224-228 YOUNG STREET WATERLOO 2017 283 dwellings · $71.7M Determined — outcome not published in the open feed 2025-10-01
923 BOURKE STREET WATERLOO 2017 110 dwellings · $165.9M Determined — outcome not published in the open feed 2025-01-09
1049 BOURKE STREET WATERLOO 2017 107 dwellings · $29.1M Determined — outcome not published in the open feed 2025-03-12
20-26 ALLEN STREET WATERLOO 2017 61 dwellings · $22.9M Approved with conditions 2020-12-29
182-186 YOUNG STREET WATERLOO 2017 61 dwellings · $0.8M Cancelled
182-186 YOUNG STREET WATERLOO 2017 61 dwellings · $0.5M Determined — outcome not published in the open feed 2026-03-10
1-1A AMELIA STREET WATERLOO 2017 50 dwellings · $14.8M Approved 2021-01-06
171B BOTANY ROAD WATERLOO 2017 47 dwellings · $20.1M Determined — outcome not published in the open feed 2022-02-17
131 BOTANY ROAD WATERLOO 2017 11 dwellings · $0.7M Approved 2020-10-07
219-231 BOTANY ROAD WATERLOO 2017 0 dwellings · $40.9M Approved 2020-12-29
40 O'DEA AVENUE WATERLOO 2017 $31.1M Lodged — under assessment 2026-06-24

Plus 47 smaller applications (renovations, single dwellings, signage) — 26 determined, 13 approved, 3 withdrawn, 1 cancelled, 1 lodged, 3 rejected.

What this view cannot see

Planned growth — Sydney LGA

The Sydney Plan, the NSW Government's 20-year framework published 13 August 2026. These are projections for the whole LGA, not a forecast for any individual property.

244,560 → 278,141 +13.7%people, 2026 → 2046
664,300 → 807,300 +21.5%jobs, 2026 → 2046
134,394homes today · 27 km²

Jobs figures are published as a guidance range and are not legislated the way housing targets are. Source: © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026, licensed CC BY 4.0.

Housing and jobs targets — SYDNEY LGA

Under the NSW Government's 20-year Sydney plan, SYDNEY has a five-year housing target of 18,900 new homes (2024–2029) and a jobs target of 93,500–143,000 additional jobs by 2046.

The housing target is the supply pipeline for the area: the number of new homes the state expects the council to plan capacity for, concentrated around the centres and station areas the Plan nominates. The jobs figure is published as an aspirational range and is not legislated the way housing targets are.

Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix D — Housing and Employment Guidance (published 13 August 2026), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026

State rezoning pipeline — Sydney LGA

The Sydney Plan lists 4 state significant rezoning sites in this LGA — land the NSW Government is rezoning (or has rezoned) for additional homes and jobs, alongside council-led supply. Dwelling and jobs figures are preliminary estimates provided by proponents or councils.

These are LGA-level sites, not a statement about any individual property; the Plan does not publish site boundaries or coordinates in this appendix. Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix F — State-led or assessed rezonings (published 13 August 2026, updated every 6 months), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026

All figures derive from published auction results and public data — estimates only, not financial advice.