Hurstville · Sydney NSW

Price model — what the model says a typical home here achieves at auction

Modelled from 146,492 Australian auction sales (2021–2026). Sydney cells run on the base model (suburb prior + configuration + time) without the Sydney-only land/school/transport features — ranges are honest about the wider uncertainty. Estimates from comparable auction results — not valuations or financial advice.

Buildings in Hurstville — full dossiers: every sale, turnover, orders, what units rent for

The 20 most-transacted of 158 Hurstville buildings with dossiers — the rest are reachable from these pages and the sitemap. Sales counts and resale records from NSW Valuer General bulk data (CC-BY); lot counts from the NSW Strata Hub register. Each dossier also states what public records cannot tell you.

Recent comparable sales — the real auction results behind the estimates

Units

Houses

Recent sold auction results in Hurstville from the price model's training set (published Domain results). A sample, not every sale.

What Hurstville actually sold for — published auction results, quarter by quarter

Quarterly medians of real published auction results (sold outcomes only). Historical results — not a prediction, valuation or financial advice.

All settled sales — every recorded sale, not just auctions

Last 12 months: 527 settled sales · median $820,000 (middle half $672,500–$1,077,500)

Settled-sale records from the NSW Valuer General's Property Sales Information. Dates are contract (exchange) dates; sales appear only once lodged, so the most recent months are incomplete and revise upward — never read the latest month as final. Residential sales of all methods — private treaty and auction. © State of New South Wales (Valuation NSW).

What Hurstville homes rent for — real bonds lodged, postcode 2220

2019Q1 → 2026Q2: $550 → $750/wk median new-tenancy rent in 2220, all dwellings pooled · +2% over the last 12 months (latest four quarters averaged against the previous four).

Every figure is from NSW Fair Trading rental bond lodgements (CC BY) — rents tenants actually signed at, not advertised asks. Postcode is the finest geography the source publishes, and a postcode may span more than one suburb. Middle half = 25th–75th percentile. New-tenancy rents run hotter than sitting rents. Not financial advice.

Crime — recorded key offences (BOCSAR)

Index 62 — above the Sydney average (50 = average) · band elevated

BOCSAR recorded key offences per resident at POSTCODE level (2220) — a postcode can span neighbouring suburbs. Rates are per RESIDENT — visitor-heavy precincts read high. Source: NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics and Research (CC BY 4.0).

Delivered & approved supply — what got built around here, honestly windowed

2,400 dwellings approved in Hurstville between 2019-08-30 and 2023-04-29 (481 applications). Largest: 569dw 93 Forest Road Hurstville 2220 (2020) · 556dw 93 Forest Road Hurstville 2220 (2021).

Census check: occupied dwellings grew from 9,523 (2016) to 11,578 (2021) — +2,055 delivered in that window, +865 of them apartments — measured completion, independent of any approval record.

Council portal records begin August 2019 — approvals before that date are invisible to the automated count and appear here only where curated from public record (and say so). Approved also precedes completed by 1–3 years. State-assessed projects live in the fast-track section, not these counts.

State-fiat planning programs — controls moved by state decision (RULE-002)

Low and Mid-Rise Housing reform — Hurstville station and town centre · controls from 2025-02-28 · source

A state-fiat listing changes what can be BUILT here — planning controls, height, density — by government decision, with no demand-demonstration step. It is a zoning signal, not a price signal: our own backtests found listed and unlisted suburbs moving together, so we don't claim price uplift from a listing. What it reliably means: development capacity changed on the date shown, checkable at the source.

Institutional moves — arrivals & departures, 12-month DA window

When an organisation with real money commits to a location — or abandons one — they've done homework you can't see. The market moves around that decision; the building is the visible end of it.

departure Education — 78 Park Road Hurstville 2220 · $10.1M works
Demolition · Erection of a new structure · School · Determined · determined 2025-12-17 · PAN-498413

A DA is intent, not an opening — and a demolition DA is not always a closure (rebuilds happen). Classification is over the Planning Portal's own structured development types; every record above is checkable by its PAN number. Departures are deliberately listed first: almost nobody watches them. Supermarket-class moves live in the anchor-tenant section, not here. Development application data © NSW Department of Planning and Environment, used under CC BY 4.0.

State-assessed housing nearby — the fast-track pipeline within 2.5km, refused declarations included

100 dwellings · 48 - 50 Forest Road, Hurstville · 0.2km away · FCFG Developments
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2026-07-23

160 dwellings · 5 - 9 Woodville Street, Hurstville · 0.3km away · Illawarra Catholic Club
Declared State Significant — on the fast-track · HDA record, 2026-06-22

160 dwellings · 5-9 Woodville Street, Hurstville · 0.3km away · Illawarra Catholic Club
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2025-10-27

172 dwellings · 144 Forest Road, Hurstville · 0.7km away · Sydney Anglican Property
Declared State Significant — on the fast-track · HDA record, 2026-06-23

180 dwellings · 1A Willison Road, Carlton · 1.7km away · Lucerne Property Group Pty Ltd
Declared State Significant — on the fast-track · HDA record, 2026-03-31

115 dwellings · 430 - 432 Princes Highway, Blakehurst · 1.9km away · Kremetis Pty Ltd
Not declared — fast-track refused · HDA record, 2026-06-22

+ 2 more within 2.5km — see the full fast-track list.

Known pipeline within 2.5km: 997 dwellings across 8 projects — future supply IF approved and built. More homes coming can mean growth in services and momentum, but also more stock competing with a resale.

These proposals go straight to NSW state assessment (Housing Delivery Authority pathway) and never appear in council DA counts. Dwelling numbers are the applicant's EOI figures — assessment can trim them. Distance is suburb-centre to project, ±500m.

Schools — density, catchment and community profile

6 primary schools within 2km · nearest school ~0.83km · 2 selective within 5km · ICSEA 1049

Catchment (suburb-centre approximation): Penshurst PS · GRC Oatley SC — a boundary address can differ; verify yours at NSW School Finder.

ICSEA is the socio-educational advantage of a school's community (My School, national average ~1000) — a demographic measure, not a quality or results score. NSW DoE school locations + intake zones, CC BY 4.0.

Auction market pace — Sydney weekly clearance

Benchmark series (Domain): week to 2026-08-22 — 53.8% of 372 reported auctions. Our own tracking (withdrawn counted): week to 2026-08-22 — 43% of 524 scheduled. Lower clearance generally means more room for buyers to negotiate.

Suburb breakdown — trailing 8 weeks, our tracking, withdrawn counted

Recent auction addresses in Hurstville

Every address links to its own page — published results, price estimate, suburb context.

11/53-57 West St · 18 Alma St · 10/25 Woids Av · 2 Greenbank St · 75A Bassett St · 37 Patrick St · 25 Taunton Rd · 1003/600 Railway Pde

Development pipeline — what's proposed in Hurstville, and how far along it is

State-pipeline proposals (pre-DA — the biggest projects start here)

• 48 - 50 Forest Road, Hurstville — Construction of a 17 - storey shop top housing development with ground floor retail and 100 residential dwellings. To include 5% of residential GFA dedicated to affordable housing in perpetuity.
  FCFG Developments · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 144 Forest Road, Hurstville — Residential flat building, 18 storeys with 172 dwellings and 5% affordable housing in perpetuity. The proposal is awaiting HAFF, if successful additional AH to be provided. Includes new ministry facilities and the retent
  Sydney Anglican Property · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 5 - 9 Woodville Street, Hurstville — Mixed - use development in a 21 storey building comprising ground floor commercial premises and build to rent housing (shop
  Illawarra Catholic Club · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 98, 98A,100 Forest Road, Hurstville — Shop top housing in a single tower of approximately 17 storeys, with 114 dwellings and active ground floor commercial uses, 10% affordable housing provided for an unspecified period.
  SAVSON PTY LTD · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 9 Gloucester Road, and 420 - 430 Forest Road, Hurstville — Construction of 3 residential flat buildings comprising approximately 800 apartments over basement parking , with 15% as affordable housing for 15 years (up to 5.2:1 FSR) and 3% in perpetuity (above 5.2:1 FSR) .
  Landmark Group Australia Pty Ltd · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)
• 5-9 Woodville Street, Hurstville — 160 apartments (build to rent) including 10% affordable housing, unspecified amount of ground floor commercial premises GFA, 21 storeys.
  Illawarra Catholic Club · Proposed — state-pipeline EOI (pre-DA, may change or lapse)

Major applications in the DA channel

Plus 54 smaller applications (renovations, single dwellings, signage) — 5 lodged, 26 determined, 14 approved, 4 withdrawn, 4 refused, 1 rejected.

What this view cannot see

• Council DAs from the NSW Planning Portal open feed, matched within ~150 m of addresses we track — a proximity net, not a complete register.
• Verdicts (approved/refused) come from a dataset frozen in Nov 2023: anything determined after that shows “determined” without a published outcome. Check the application on the NSW Planning Portal for the current decision.
• The largest master-planned sites can proceed as State Significant Development or planning proposals and never appear as council DAs. State-pipeline EOIs shown here are proposals, not applications, and can change or lapse.
• No feed we hold ties a construction certificate to a specific application, so no project row here can honestly read “under construction” — “approved” never means “built”. Suburb-level construction-certificate volume appears in the DA-volume section.

Housing and jobs targets — GEORGES RIVER LGA

Under the NSW Government's 20-year Sydney plan, GEORGES RIVER has a five-year housing target of 6,300 new homes (2024–2029) and a jobs target of 8,400–11,200 additional jobs by 2046.

The housing target is the supply pipeline for the area: the number of new homes the state expects the council to plan capacity for, concentrated around the centres and station areas the Plan nominates. The jobs figure is published as an aspirational range and is not legislated the way housing targets are.

Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix D — Housing and Employment Guidance (published 13 August 2026), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026

State rezoning pipeline — Georges River LGA

The Sydney Plan lists one state significant rezoning site in this LGA — land the NSW Government is rezoning (or has rezoned) for additional homes and jobs, alongside council-led supply. Dwelling and jobs figures are preliminary estimates provided by proponents or councils.

• Beverly Hills Town Centre (West) — ~800 dwellings, ~190 jobs · assessment underway, announced July 2026

These are LGA-level sites, not a statement about any individual property; the Plan does not publish site boundaries or coordinates in this appendix. Source: The Sydney Plan, Appendix F — State-led or assessed rezonings (published 13 August 2026, updated every 6 months), licensed CC BY 4.0. © State of New South Wales and Department of Planning, Housing and Infrastructure 2026